1919 Financial Services Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.99
| SFSLX Fund | USD 22.57 0.10 0.45% |
1919 |
1919 Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 24.99
The tendency of 1919 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.99 or more in 90 days |
| 22.57 | 90 days | 24.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1919 Financial to move over $ 24.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1919 Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of 1919 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1919 Financial Services price to stay between its current price of $ 22.57 and $ 24.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually implies 1919 Financial Services market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 1919 Financial is expected to follow. Additionally 1919 Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. 1919 Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1919 Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1919 Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1919 Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1919 Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1919 Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1919 Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1919 Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1919 Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
1919 Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1919 Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1919 Financial Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1919 Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| 1919 Financial Services maintains 98.17% of its assets in stocks |
1919 Financial Technical Analysis
1919 Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1919 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1919 Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1919 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1919 Financial Predictive Forecast Models
1919 Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1919 Financial's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1919 Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 1919 Financial Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1919 Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1919 Financial Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 1919 Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| 1919 Financial Services maintains 98.17% of its assets in stocks |
Check out 1919 Financial Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 1919 Financial Correlation, 1919 Financial Hype Analysis, 1919 Financial Volatility, 1919 Financial History as well as 1919 Financial Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.