Roumell Opportunistic Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.96

RAMSX Fund  USD 4.97  0.03  0.61%   
Roumell Opportunistic's future price is the expected price of Roumell Opportunistic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roumell Opportunistic Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roumell Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Roumell Opportunistic Correlation, Roumell Opportunistic Hype Analysis, Roumell Opportunistic Volatility, Roumell Opportunistic History as well as Roumell Opportunistic Performance.
  
Please specify Roumell Opportunistic's target price for which you would like Roumell Opportunistic odds to be computed.

Roumell Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish below 8.96

The tendency of Roumell Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 8.96  after 90 days
 4.97 90 days 8.96 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roumell Opportunistic to stay under $ 8.96  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Roumell Opportunistic Value probability density function shows the probability of Roumell Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roumell Opportunistic price to stay between its current price of $ 4.97  and $ 8.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Roumell Opportunistic Value has a beta of -0.16 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Roumell Opportunistic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Roumell Opportunistic Value is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Roumell Opportunistic Value has an alpha of 0.0647, implying that it can generate a 0.0647 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roumell Opportunistic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roumell Opportunistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roumell Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roumell Opportunistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.004.945.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.564.505.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roumell Opportunistic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roumell Opportunistic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roumell Opportunistic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Roumell Opportunistic.

Roumell Opportunistic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roumell Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roumell Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roumell Opportunistic Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roumell Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Roumell Opportunistic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roumell Opportunistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roumell Opportunistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -11.0%
Roumell Opportunistic maintains about 28.94% of its assets in cash

Roumell Opportunistic Technical Analysis

Roumell Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roumell Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roumell Opportunistic Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roumell Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roumell Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models

Roumell Opportunistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roumell Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roumell Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roumell Opportunistic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roumell Opportunistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roumell Opportunistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -11.0%
Roumell Opportunistic maintains about 28.94% of its assets in cash

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When running Roumell Opportunistic's price analysis, check to measure Roumell Opportunistic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roumell Opportunistic is operating at the current time. Most of Roumell Opportunistic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roumell Opportunistic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roumell Opportunistic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roumell Opportunistic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Roumell Opportunistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roumell Opportunistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roumell Opportunistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.