Roumell Opportunistic Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 4.79
| RAMSX Fund | USD 4.79 0.01 0.21% |
Roumell |
Roumell Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish over 4.79
The tendency of Roumell Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.79 | 90 days | 4.79 | about 41.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roumell Opportunistic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.52 (This Roumell Opportunistic Value probability density function shows the probability of Roumell Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 indicating Roumell Opportunistic Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Roumell Opportunistic is expected to follow. Additionally Roumell Opportunistic Value has an alpha of 0.0143, implying that it can generate a 0.0143 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Roumell Opportunistic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Roumell Opportunistic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roumell Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roumell Opportunistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Roumell Opportunistic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roumell Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roumell Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roumell Opportunistic Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roumell Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Roumell Opportunistic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roumell Opportunistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roumell Opportunistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -12.0% | |
| Roumell Opportunistic maintains about 28.94% of its assets in cash |
Roumell Opportunistic Technical Analysis
Roumell Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roumell Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roumell Opportunistic Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roumell Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Roumell Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models
Roumell Opportunistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roumell Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roumell Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Roumell Opportunistic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Roumell Opportunistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roumell Opportunistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -12.0% | |
| Roumell Opportunistic maintains about 28.94% of its assets in cash |
Check out Roumell Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Roumell Opportunistic Correlation, Roumell Opportunistic Hype Analysis, Roumell Opportunistic Volatility, Roumell Opportunistic History as well as Roumell Opportunistic Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.