News Corp A Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.51

NWSA Stock  USD 26.29  0.22  0.84%   
News Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on News Corp A. Implied volatility approximates the future value of News Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in News Corp A over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on News Corp's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 10:54:46 for $1.35 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.1, and an ask price of $1.55. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 10.05. View All News options

Closest to current price News long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

News Corp's future price is the expected price of News Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of News Corp A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out News Corp Backtesting, News Corp Valuation, News Corp Correlation, News Corp Hype Analysis, News Corp Volatility, News Corp History as well as News Corp Performance.
  
At present, News Corp's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 1.36, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.87. Please specify News Corp's target price for which you would like News Corp odds to be computed.

News Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 9.51

The tendency of News Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.51  or more in 90 days
 26.29 90 days 9.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of News Corp to drop to $ 9.51  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This News Corp A probability density function shows the probability of News Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of News Corp A price to stay between $ 9.51  and its current price of $26.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This indicates News Corp A market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, News Corp is expected to follow. Additionally News Corp A has an alpha of 0.022, implying that it can generate a 0.022 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   News Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for News Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as News Corp A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of News Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9626.3127.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9626.3127.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2626.6127.95
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5026.9229.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as News Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against News Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, News Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in News Corp A.

News Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. News Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the News Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold News Corp A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of News Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

News Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of News Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for News Corp A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Comcasts AudienceXpress, iSpot Team Up for TV Marketing

News Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of News Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential News Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. News Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding579 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

News Corp Technical Analysis

News Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. News Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of News Corp A. In general, you should focus on analyzing News Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

News Corp Predictive Forecast Models

News Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many News Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary News Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about News Corp A

Checking the ongoing alerts about News Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for News Corp A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Comcasts AudienceXpress, iSpot Team Up for TV Marketing
When determining whether News Corp A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of News Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of News Corp A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on News Corp A Stock:

Complementary Tools for News Stock analysis

When running News Corp's price analysis, check to measure News Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy News Corp is operating at the current time. Most of News Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of News Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move News Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of News Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is News Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of News Corp. If investors know News will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about News Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.321
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
0.4
Revenue Per Share
17.394
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of News Corp A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of News that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of News Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is News Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because News Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect News Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between News Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if News Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, News Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.