Ishares Short Maturity Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 50.3

NEAR Etf  USD 50.46  0.06  0.12%   
IShares Short's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on IShares Short Maturity. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IShares Short based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in IShares Short Maturity over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $48.0 is a CALL option contract on IShares Short's common stock with a strick price of 48.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 50 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $5.6. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 27.69. View All IShares options

Closest to current price IShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

IShares Short's future price is the expected price of IShares Short instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IShares Short Maturity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IShares Short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares Short Correlation, IShares Short Hype Analysis, IShares Short Volatility, IShares Short History as well as IShares Short Performance.
  
Please specify IShares Short's target price for which you would like IShares Short odds to be computed.

IShares Short Target Price Odds to finish over 50.3

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 50.30  in 90 days
 50.46 90 days 50.30 
about 27.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Short to stay above $ 50.30  in 90 days from now is about 27.98 (This IShares Short Maturity probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IShares Short Maturity price to stay between $ 50.30  and its current price of $50.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IShares Short has a beta of 0.0757. This indicates as returns on the market go up, IShares Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IShares Short Maturity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IShares Short Maturity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   IShares Short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IShares Short Maturity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.3650.4650.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.2846.3855.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.3150.4050.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.3550.4250.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IShares Short Maturity.

IShares Short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IShares Short Maturity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0055
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -1.26

IShares Short Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IShares Short Maturity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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The fund maintains about 15.7% of its assets in bonds

IShares Short Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares Short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares Short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

IShares Short Technical Analysis

IShares Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IShares Short Maturity. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares Short Predictive Forecast Models

IShares Short's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares Short's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares Short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IShares Short Maturity

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares Short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IShares Short Maturity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Web3 AI Platform MyShell Raises 11 Million In a Round Led By Dragonfly
The fund maintains about 15.7% of its assets in bonds
When determining whether IShares Short Maturity is a strong investment it is important to analyze IShares Short's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IShares Short's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out IShares Short Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares Short Correlation, IShares Short Hype Analysis, IShares Short Volatility, IShares Short History as well as IShares Short Performance.
Note that the IShares Short Maturity information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IShares Short's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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The market value of IShares Short Maturity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Short's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Short's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Short's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Short's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.