Lululemon Athletica Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 176.71

LULU Stock  USD 389.46  3.32  0.86%   
Lululemon Athletica's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lululemon Athletica. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lululemon Athletica based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lululemon Athletica over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $390.0 is a CALL option contract on Lululemon Athletica's common stock with a strick price of 390.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:36 for $2.0 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.83, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 27.65. View All Lululemon options

Closest to current price Lululemon long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Lululemon Athletica's future price is the expected price of Lululemon Athletica instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lululemon Athletica performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lululemon Athletica Backtesting, Lululemon Athletica Valuation, Lululemon Athletica Correlation, Lululemon Athletica Hype Analysis, Lululemon Athletica Volatility, Lululemon Athletica History as well as Lululemon Athletica Performance.
For more information on how to buy Lululemon Stock please use our How to Invest in Lululemon Athletica guide.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 73.78 in 2024. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to gain to 9.87 in 2024. Please specify Lululemon Athletica's target price for which you would like Lululemon Athletica odds to be computed.

Lululemon Athletica Target Price Odds to finish over 176.71

The tendency of Lululemon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 176.71  in 90 days
 389.46 90 days 176.71 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lululemon Athletica to stay above $ 176.71  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lululemon Athletica probability density function shows the probability of Lululemon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lululemon Athletica price to stay between $ 176.71  and its current price of $389.46 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lululemon Athletica will likely underperform. Additionally Lululemon Athletica has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Lululemon Athletica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lululemon Athletica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lululemon Athletica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lululemon Athletica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
350.51393.39395.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
350.51425.99428.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
343.08345.57348.07
Details
35 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
393.04431.91479.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lululemon Athletica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lululemon Athletica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lululemon Athletica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lululemon Athletica.

Lululemon Athletica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lululemon Athletica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lululemon Athletica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lululemon Athletica, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lululemon Athletica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.63
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.95
σ
Overall volatility
26.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Lululemon Athletica Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lululemon Athletica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lululemon Athletica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lululemon Athletica generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lululemon Athletica has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from footwearnews.com: Aetrex Teams Up With Bauer Hockey

Lululemon Athletica Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lululemon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lululemon Athletica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lululemon Athletica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding127.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Lululemon Athletica Technical Analysis

Lululemon Athletica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lululemon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lululemon Athletica. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lululemon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lululemon Athletica Predictive Forecast Models

Lululemon Athletica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lululemon Athletica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lululemon Athletica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lululemon Athletica

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lululemon Athletica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lululemon Athletica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lululemon Athletica generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lululemon Athletica has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from footwearnews.com: Aetrex Teams Up With Bauer Hockey
When determining whether Lululemon Athletica is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lululemon Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lululemon Athletica Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lululemon Athletica Stock:

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When running Lululemon Athletica's price analysis, check to measure Lululemon Athletica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lululemon Athletica is operating at the current time. Most of Lululemon Athletica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lululemon Athletica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lululemon Athletica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lululemon Athletica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lululemon Athletica's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lululemon Athletica. If investors know Lululemon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lululemon Athletica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.639
Earnings Share
12.19
Revenue Per Share
75.906
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Return On Assets
0.2173
The market value of Lululemon Athletica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lululemon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lululemon Athletica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lululemon Athletica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lululemon Athletica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lululemon Athletica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lululemon Athletica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lululemon Athletica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lululemon Athletica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.