Jack In Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 86.34

JACK Stock  USD 68.48  1.99  2.82%   
Jack In's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Jack In. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Jack In based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Jack In over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $70.0 is a CALL option contract on Jack In's common stock with a strick price of 70.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:51:56 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $1.45. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 30.26. View All Jack options

Closest to current price Jack long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Jack In's future price is the expected price of Jack In instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jack In performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jack In Backtesting, Jack In Valuation, Jack In Correlation, Jack In Hype Analysis, Jack In Volatility, Jack In History as well as Jack In Performance.
For more information on how to buy Jack Stock please use our How to buy in Jack Stock guide.
  
At this time, Jack In's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 22.80 this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to rise to (5.11). Please specify Jack In's target price for which you would like Jack In odds to be computed.

Jack In Target Price Odds to finish over 86.34

The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 86.34  or more in 90 days
 68.48 90 days 86.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack In to move over $ 86.34  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jack In probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jack In price to stay between its current price of $ 68.48  and $ 86.34  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This indicates Jack In market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jack In is expected to follow. Additionally Jack In has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Jack In Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jack In

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.4968.4870.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.4253.4175.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.8164.8066.78
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.2191.44101.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jack In. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jack In's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jack In's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jack In.

Jack In Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack In is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack In's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack In, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack In within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.4
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.05
σ
Overall volatility
4.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Jack In Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack In for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack In can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jack In generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 3.16 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Jack In until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jack In's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jack In sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jack to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of March 2024 Jack In paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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Jack In Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments157.7 M

Jack In Technical Analysis

Jack In's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jack In. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jack In Predictive Forecast Models

Jack In's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jack In's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jack In's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jack In

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack In for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack In help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jack In generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 3.16 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Jack In until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jack In's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jack In sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jack to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of March 2024 Jack In paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Del Taco Introduces 2 for 3 Crispy Chicken Tacos and Egg Cheese Breakfast Rollers
When determining whether Jack In is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Jack Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Jack In Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Jack In Stock:
Check out Jack In Backtesting, Jack In Valuation, Jack In Correlation, Jack In Hype Analysis, Jack In Volatility, Jack In History as well as Jack In Performance.
For more information on how to buy Jack Stock please use our How to buy in Jack Stock guide.
Note that the Jack In information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jack In's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Jack Stock analysis

When running Jack In's price analysis, check to measure Jack In's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jack In is operating at the current time. Most of Jack In's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jack In's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jack In's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jack In to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jack In's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. If investors know Jack will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jack In listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
1.76
Earnings Share
6.3
Revenue Per Share
81.23
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Jack In is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jack that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jack In's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jack In's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jack In's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jack In's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jack In's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jack In is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jack In's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.