Host Hotels Resorts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.85
| HST Stock | USD 18.71 0.12 0.65% |
Closest to current price Host long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Host |
Host Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 17.85
The tendency of Host Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 17.85 in 90 days |
| 18.71 | 90 days | 17.85 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Host Hotels to stay above $ 17.85 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Host Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Host Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Host Hotels Resorts price to stay between $ 17.85 and its current price of $18.71 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Host Hotels will likely underperform. Additionally Host Hotels Resorts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Host Hotels Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Host Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Host Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Host Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Host Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Host Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Host Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Host Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Host Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Host Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Host Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Host Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Host Hotels Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Host Hotels Resorts has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Host Hotels paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Host Hotels Resorts, Inc. Forecasted to Post Q2 2025 Earnings of 0.53 Per Share - Defense World |
Host Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Host Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Host Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Host Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 712.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Host Hotels Technical Analysis
Host Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Host Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Host Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Host Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Host Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Host Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Host Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Host Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Host Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Host Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Host Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Host Hotels Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Host Hotels Resorts has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Host Hotels paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Host Hotels Resorts, Inc. Forecasted to Post Q2 2025 Earnings of 0.53 Per Share - Defense World |
Check out Host Hotels Backtesting, Host Hotels Valuation, Host Hotels Correlation, Host Hotels Hype Analysis, Host Hotels Volatility, Host Hotels History as well as Host Hotels Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Host Stock analysis
When running Host Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Host Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Host Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Host Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Host Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Host Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Host Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Host Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Host Hotels. If investors know Host will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Host Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Dividend Share 0.65 | Earnings Share 1.04 | Revenue Per Share 7.492 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Host Hotels Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Host that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Host Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Host Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Host Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Host Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Host Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Host Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Host Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.