Henry Schein Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.64

HSIC Stock  USD 75.80  0.65  0.86%   
Henry Schein's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Henry Schein. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Henry Schein based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Henry Schein over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on Henry Schein's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:55:54 for $1.55 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.55, and an ask price of $1.7. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 18.33. View All Henry options

Closest to current price Henry long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Henry Schein's future price is the expected price of Henry Schein instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Henry Schein performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Henry Schein Backtesting, Henry Schein Valuation, Henry Schein Correlation, Henry Schein Hype Analysis, Henry Schein Volatility, Henry Schein History as well as Henry Schein Performance.
For information on how to trade Henry Stock refer to our How to Trade Henry Stock guide.
  
At present, Henry Schein's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 1.53, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 3.45. Please specify Henry Schein's target price for which you would like Henry Schein odds to be computed.

Henry Schein Target Price Odds to finish below 172.64

The tendency of Henry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 172.64  after 90 days
 75.80 90 days 172.64 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Henry Schein to stay under $ 172.64  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Henry Schein probability density function shows the probability of Henry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Henry Schein price to stay between its current price of $ 75.80  and $ 172.64  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Henry Schein will likely underperform. Additionally Henry Schein has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Henry Schein Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Henry Schein

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Henry Schein. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Henry Schein's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.4375.8077.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.2278.9180.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.2375.6076.98
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
74.2981.6490.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Henry Schein. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Henry Schein's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Henry Schein's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Henry Schein.

Henry Schein Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Henry Schein is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Henry Schein's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Henry Schein, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Henry Schein within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.41
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Henry Schein Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Henry Schein for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Henry Schein can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Henry Schein has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Have Henry Schein Insiders Been Selling Stock

Henry Schein Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Henry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Henry Schein's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Henry Schein's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments171 M

Henry Schein Technical Analysis

Henry Schein's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Henry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Henry Schein. In general, you should focus on analyzing Henry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Henry Schein Predictive Forecast Models

Henry Schein's time-series forecasting models is one of many Henry Schein's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Henry Schein's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Henry Schein

Checking the ongoing alerts about Henry Schein for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Henry Schein help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Henry Schein has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Have Henry Schein Insiders Been Selling Stock
When determining whether Henry Schein offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Henry Schein's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Henry Schein Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Henry Schein Stock:

Complementary Tools for Henry Stock analysis

When running Henry Schein's price analysis, check to measure Henry Schein's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Henry Schein is operating at the current time. Most of Henry Schein's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Henry Schein's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Henry Schein's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Henry Schein to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Henry Schein's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Henry Schein. If investors know Henry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Henry Schein listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Earnings Share
3.16
Revenue Per Share
94.466
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
0.0453
The market value of Henry Schein is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Henry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Henry Schein's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Henry Schein's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Henry Schein's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Henry Schein's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Henry Schein's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henry Schein is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henry Schein's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.