Alphabet Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 1124.83

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,150  5.44  0.48%

Alphabet probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Alphabet performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Alphabet time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Alphabet odds to be computed. Please also check Alphabet Backtesting, Alphabet Valuation, Alphabet Correlation, Alphabet Hype Analysis, Alphabet Volatility, Alphabet History as well as Alphabet Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Alphabet Target Price Odds to finish below 1124.83

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1,125  or more in 30 days
 1,150 30 days 1,125  ABOUT 66.4%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Alphabet to drop to $ 1,125  or more in 30 days from now is about 66.4% (This Alphabet probability density function shows the probability of Alphabet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Alphabet price to stay between $ 1,125  and its current price of $1150.34 at the end of the 30-day period is about 21.3%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1099 . This indicates Alphabet market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alphabet is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Alphabet is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Alphabet Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.1
β
Beta against DOW=1.11
σ
Overall volatility
=34.29
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

Alphabet Alerts and Suggestions

Alphabet generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

AlphabetPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.36%
Float Shares602.82M
Shares Short Prior Month2.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.14M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.56M
Date Short InterestJune 28, 2019
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