Gol Linhas Aereas Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.34

GOLDelisted Stock  USD 1.08  0.06  5.88%   
Gol Linhas' future price is the expected price of Gol Linhas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gol Linhas Aereas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify Gol Linhas' target price for which you would like Gol Linhas odds to be computed.

Gol Linhas Target Price Odds to finish over 16.34

The tendency of Gol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.34  or more in 90 days
 1.08 90 days 16.34 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gol Linhas to move over $ 16.34  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gol Linhas Aereas probability density function shows the probability of Gol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gol Linhas Aereas price to stay between its current price of $ 1.08  and $ 16.34  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gol Linhas will likely underperform. Additionally Gol Linhas Aereas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Gol Linhas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gol Linhas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gol Linhas Aereas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gol Linhas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.3211.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.0311.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gol Linhas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gol Linhas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gol Linhas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gol Linhas Aereas.

Gol Linhas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gol Linhas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gol Linhas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gol Linhas Aereas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gol Linhas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.42
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Gol Linhas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gol Linhas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gol Linhas Aereas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gol Linhas Aereas is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gol Linhas Aereas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gol Linhas Aereas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Gol Linhas Aereas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gol Linhas Aereas has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 23.19 B in debt. Gol Linhas Aereas has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Gol Linhas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gol Linhas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gol Linhas Aereas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gol Linhas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Gol Linhas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gol Linhas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gol Linhas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments573.1 M

Gol Linhas Technical Analysis

Gol Linhas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gol Linhas Aereas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gol Linhas Predictive Forecast Models

Gol Linhas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gol Linhas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gol Linhas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gol Linhas Aereas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gol Linhas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gol Linhas Aereas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gol Linhas Aereas is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Gol Linhas Aereas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gol Linhas Aereas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Gol Linhas Aereas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gol Linhas Aereas has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 23.19 B in debt. Gol Linhas Aereas has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Gol Linhas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gol Linhas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gol Linhas Aereas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gol Linhas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Other Consideration for investing in Gol Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Gol Linhas Aereas check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gol Linhas' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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