Goldman Sachs Centrated Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.45

GCGCX Fund  USD 14.03  0.10  0.72%   
Goldman Sachs' future price is the expected price of Goldman Sachs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Goldman Sachs Centrated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Goldman Sachs Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Goldman Sachs Correlation, Goldman Sachs Hype Analysis, Goldman Sachs Volatility, Goldman Sachs History as well as Goldman Sachs Performance.
  
Please specify Goldman Sachs' target price for which you would like Goldman Sachs odds to be computed.

Goldman Sachs Target Price Odds to finish over 13.45

The tendency of Goldman Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.45  in 90 days
 14.03 90 days 13.45 
about 44.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goldman Sachs to stay above $ 13.45  in 90 days from now is about 44.84 (This Goldman Sachs Centrated probability density function shows the probability of Goldman Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Goldman Sachs Centrated price to stay between $ 13.45  and its current price of $14.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates Goldman Sachs Centrated market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Goldman Sachs is expected to follow. Additionally Goldman Sachs Centrated has an alpha of 0.0085, implying that it can generate a 0.008513 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Goldman Sachs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goldman Sachs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldman Sachs Centrated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goldman Sachs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0614.0315.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8613.8314.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9613.9314.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9013.9814.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goldman Sachs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goldman Sachs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goldman Sachs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goldman Sachs Centrated.

Goldman Sachs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goldman Sachs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goldman Sachs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goldman Sachs Centrated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goldman Sachs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Goldman Sachs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goldman Sachs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goldman Sachs Centrated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Goldman Sachs Technical Analysis

Goldman Sachs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goldman Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goldman Sachs Centrated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goldman Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Goldman Sachs Predictive Forecast Models

Goldman Sachs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Goldman Sachs' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Goldman Sachs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Goldman Sachs Centrated

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goldman Sachs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goldman Sachs Centrated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Goldman Sachs Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Goldman Sachs Correlation, Goldman Sachs Hype Analysis, Goldman Sachs Volatility, Goldman Sachs History as well as Goldman Sachs Performance.
Note that the Goldman Sachs Centrated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Goldman Sachs' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Goldman Mutual Fund analysis

When running Goldman Sachs' price analysis, check to measure Goldman Sachs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goldman Sachs is operating at the current time. Most of Goldman Sachs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goldman Sachs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goldman Sachs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goldman Sachs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Goldman Sachs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.