Five9 Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53.83

FIVN Stock  USD 62.30  0.68  1.08%   
Five9's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Five9 Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Five9 based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Five9 Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $62.5 is a CALL option contract on Five9's common stock with a strick price of 62.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 13:38:15 for $1.95 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.1, and an ask price of $2.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 36.88. View All Five9 options

Closest to current price Five9 long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Five9's future price is the expected price of Five9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Five9 Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Five9 Backtesting, Five9 Valuation, Five9 Correlation, Five9 Hype Analysis, Five9 Volatility, Five9 History as well as Five9 Performance.
  
At this time, Five9's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 67.60, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (72.81). Please specify Five9's target price for which you would like Five9 odds to be computed.

Five9 Target Price Odds to finish over 53.83

The tendency of Five9 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 53.83  in 90 days
 62.30 90 days 53.83 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Five9 to stay above $ 53.83  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Five9 Inc probability density function shows the probability of Five9 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Five9 Inc price to stay between $ 53.83  and its current price of $62.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Five9 has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Five9 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Five9 Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Five9 Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Five9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Five9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five9 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Five9's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.0562.9065.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.6868.9271.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.6464.4967.34
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.4590.60100.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Five9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Five9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Five9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Five9 Inc.

Five9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Five9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Five9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Five9 Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Five9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.3
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.22
σ
Overall volatility
7.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Five9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Five9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Five9 Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five9 Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 412.05 M.
Five9 Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Five9 Launches GenAI Studio, the First Enterprise-Ready Solution Offering Click-and-Customize Generative AI for the Contact Center

Five9 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Five9 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Five9's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five9's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72 M
Cash And Short Term Investments730.3 M

Five9 Technical Analysis

Five9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Five9 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Five9 Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Five9 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Five9 Predictive Forecast Models

Five9's time-series forecasting models is one of many Five9's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Five9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Five9 Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Five9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Five9 Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Five9 Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 910.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 412.05 M.
Five9 Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Five9 Launches GenAI Studio, the First Enterprise-Ready Solution Offering Click-and-Customize Generative AI for the Contact Center
When determining whether Five9 Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Five9's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Five9 Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Five9 Inc Stock:

Complementary Tools for Five9 Stock analysis

When running Five9's price analysis, check to measure Five9's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five9 is operating at the current time. Most of Five9's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five9's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five9's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five9 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Is Five9's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five9. If investors know Five9 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five9 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.79)
Earnings Share
(1.13)
Revenue Per Share
12.637
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.147
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Five9 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five9 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five9's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five9's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five9's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five9's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.