1st Capital Bank Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 16.05

FISB Stock  USD 11.15  0.05  0.45%   
1st Capital's future price is the expected price of 1st Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1st Capital Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1st Capital Backtesting, 1st Capital Valuation, 1st Capital Correlation, 1st Capital Hype Analysis, 1st Capital Volatility, 1st Capital History as well as 1st Capital Performance.
  
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1st Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 16.05

The tendency of 1st OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.05  or more in 90 days
 11.15 90 days 16.05 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1st Capital to move over $ 16.05  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This 1st Capital Bank probability density function shows the probability of 1st OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1st Capital Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 11.15  and $ 16.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1st Capital has a beta of 0.0805. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, 1st Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1st Capital Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 1st Capital Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   1st Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1st Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Capital Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1st Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4911.1511.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1010.7611.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4911.1511.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1311.2611.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1st Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1st Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1st Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1st Capital Bank.

1st Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1st Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1st Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1st Capital Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1st Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

1st Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1st Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1st Capital Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1st Capital Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

1st Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1st OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1st Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1st Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 M

1st Capital Technical Analysis

1st Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1st OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1st Capital Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1st OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1st Capital Predictive Forecast Models

1st Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1st Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1st Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1st Capital Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1st Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1st Capital Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1st Capital Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out 1st Capital Backtesting, 1st Capital Valuation, 1st Capital Correlation, 1st Capital Hype Analysis, 1st Capital Volatility, 1st Capital History as well as 1st Capital Performance.
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When running 1st Capital's price analysis, check to measure 1st Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Capital is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.