Fair Isaac Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 385.13

FICO Stock  USD 1,259  23.96  1.87%   
Fair Isaac's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fair Isaac. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fair Isaac based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fair Isaac over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $1260.0 is a CALL option contract on Fair Isaac's common stock with a strick price of 1260.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 15:17:56 for $36.2 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $39.1, and an ask price of $42.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 32.02. View All Fair options

Closest to current price Fair long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Fair Isaac's future price is the expected price of Fair Isaac instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fair Isaac performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fair Isaac Backtesting, Fair Isaac Valuation, Fair Isaac Correlation, Fair Isaac Hype Analysis, Fair Isaac Volatility, Fair Isaac History as well as Fair Isaac Performance.
To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.
  
At this time, Fair Isaac's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 13.55, though Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to (34.46). Please specify Fair Isaac's target price for which you would like Fair Isaac odds to be computed.

Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish over 385.13

The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 385.13  in 90 days
 1,259 90 days 385.13 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to stay above $ 385.13  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fair Isaac probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fair Isaac price to stay between $ 385.13  and its current price of $1258.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fair Isaac will likely underperform. Additionally Fair Isaac has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Fair Isaac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fair Isaac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1331,2621,264
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0421,0441,384
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2761,2781,280
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
869.23955.201,060
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fair Isaac. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fair Isaac's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fair Isaac's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fair Isaac.

Fair Isaac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Isaac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Isaac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Isaac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Isaac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.50
σ
Overall volatility
55.12
Ir
Information ratio 0

Fair Isaac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fair Isaac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fair Isaac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Isaac is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: FICO UK Credit Card Market Report January 2024

Fair Isaac Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fair Isaac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fair Isaac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.8 M

Fair Isaac Technical Analysis

Fair Isaac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fair Isaac. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fair Isaac Predictive Forecast Models

Fair Isaac's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fair Isaac's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fair Isaac's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fair Isaac

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Isaac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Isaac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Isaac is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: FICO UK Credit Card Market Report January 2024
When determining whether Fair Isaac offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fair Isaac's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fair Isaac Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fair Isaac Stock:
Check out Fair Isaac Backtesting, Fair Isaac Valuation, Fair Isaac Correlation, Fair Isaac Hype Analysis, Fair Isaac Volatility, Fair Isaac History as well as Fair Isaac Performance.
To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.
Note that the Fair Isaac information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fair Isaac's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for Fair Stock analysis

When running Fair Isaac's price analysis, check to measure Fair Isaac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fair Isaac is operating at the current time. Most of Fair Isaac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fair Isaac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fair Isaac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fair Isaac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fair Isaac's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. If investors know Fair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fair Isaac listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.25
Earnings Share
17.83
Revenue Per Share
62.24
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
Return On Assets
0.2678
The market value of Fair Isaac is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fair Isaac's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fair Isaac's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fair Isaac's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fair Isaac's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fair Isaac's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.