F5 Networks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.74

FFIV Stock  USD 188.84  1.86  0.99%   
F5 Networks' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on F5 Networks. Implied volatility approximates the future value of F5 Networks based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in F5 Networks over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $190.0 is a CALL option contract on F5 Networks' common stock with a strick price of 190.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:42:16 for $3.34 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.0, and an ask price of $3.8. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 19.49. View All FFIV options

Closest to current price FFIV long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

F5 Networks' future price is the expected price of F5 Networks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of F5 Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out F5 Networks Backtesting, F5 Networks Valuation, F5 Networks Correlation, F5 Networks Hype Analysis, F5 Networks Volatility, F5 Networks History as well as F5 Networks Performance.
For more information on how to buy FFIV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.
  
At this time, F5 Networks' Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 6.67 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 18.65 in 2024. Please specify F5 Networks' target price for which you would like F5 Networks odds to be computed.

F5 Networks Target Price Odds to finish over 128.74

The tendency of FFIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 128.74  in 90 days
 188.84 90 days 128.74 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of F5 Networks to stay above $ 128.74  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This F5 Networks probability density function shows the probability of FFIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of F5 Networks price to stay between $ 128.74  and its current price of $188.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually indicates F5 Networks market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, F5 Networks is expected to follow. Additionally F5 Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   F5 Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for F5 Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F5 Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of F5 Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.73188.79189.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.68162.74207.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
181.37182.43183.48
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
153.56168.75187.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as F5 Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against F5 Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, F5 Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in F5 Networks.

F5 Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. F5 Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the F5 Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold F5 Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of F5 Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.06
σ
Overall volatility
5.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

F5 Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of F5 Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for F5 Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: If EPS Growth Is Important To You, F5 Presents An Opportunity

F5 Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FFIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments803.3 M

F5 Networks Technical Analysis

F5 Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FFIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of F5 Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing FFIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

F5 Networks Predictive Forecast Models

F5 Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many F5 Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary F5 Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about F5 Networks

Checking the ongoing alerts about F5 Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for F5 Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: If EPS Growth Is Important To You, F5 Presents An Opportunity
When determining whether F5 Networks is a strong investment it is important to analyze F5 Networks' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact F5 Networks' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FFIV Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for FFIV Stock analysis

When running F5 Networks' price analysis, check to measure F5 Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy F5 Networks is operating at the current time. Most of F5 Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of F5 Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move F5 Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of F5 Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is F5 Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of F5 Networks. If investors know FFIV will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about F5 Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.933
Earnings Share
7.67
Revenue Per Share
47.019
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0732
The market value of F5 Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FFIV that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of F5 Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is F5 Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because F5 Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect F5 Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between F5 Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if F5 Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, F5 Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.