Fidelity Dd Bancorp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.57

FDBC Stock  USD 48.43  0.13  0.27%   
Fidelity's future price is the expected price of Fidelity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity DD Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Backtesting, Fidelity Valuation, Fidelity Correlation, Fidelity Hype Analysis, Fidelity Volatility, Fidelity History as well as Fidelity Performance.
  
The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 14.27, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 14.83. Please specify Fidelity's target price for which you would like Fidelity odds to be computed.

Fidelity Target Price Odds to finish below 66.57

The tendency of Fidelity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 66.57  after 90 days
 48.43 90 days 66.57 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity to stay under $ 66.57  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fidelity DD Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity DD Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 48.43  and $ 66.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.89 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fidelity will likely underperform. Additionally Fidelity DD Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Fidelity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity DD Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.3048.3951.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.8447.9351.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.2446.3349.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.6248.4651.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fidelity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fidelity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fidelity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fidelity DD Bancorp.

Fidelity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity DD Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.58
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.89
σ
Overall volatility
3.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Fidelity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity DD Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity DD Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidelity DD Bancorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fidelity DD Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 8th of March 2024 Fidelity paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 154 shares by Michael Pacyna of Fidelity at 46.58 subject to Rule 16b-3

Fidelity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidelity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidelity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-111.9 M

Fidelity Technical Analysis

Fidelity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity DD Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity DD Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity DD Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity DD Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fidelity DD Bancorp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fidelity DD Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 8th of March 2024 Fidelity paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 154 shares by Michael Pacyna of Fidelity at 46.58 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Fidelity DD Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fidelity's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fidelity Dd Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fidelity Dd Bancorp Stock:
Check out Fidelity Backtesting, Fidelity Valuation, Fidelity Correlation, Fidelity Hype Analysis, Fidelity Volatility, Fidelity History as well as Fidelity Performance.
Note that the Fidelity DD Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fidelity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Fidelity's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fidelity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fidelity. If investors know Fidelity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fidelity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Dividend Share
1.46
Earnings Share
3.19
Revenue Per Share
12.714
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.41)
The market value of Fidelity DD Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fidelity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fidelity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fidelity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fidelity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fidelity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.