Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F -- USA Stock  

USD 9.06  0.02  0.22%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 9.06 30 days 9.06 
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.7923 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ford Motor is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.79
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.1

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from Ford stock at lowest in nearly 2 months as hopes for the auto maker fade - MarketWatch

Ford MotorPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.25%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.64%
Float Shares3.91B
Shares Short Prior Month122.89M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day33.42M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month36.45M
Date Short InterestJuly 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.70%