Everi Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.63

EVRI Stock  USD 9.55  0.38  4.14%   
Everi Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Everi Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Everi Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Everi Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Everi Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 13:11:41 for $0.15 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 45.73. View All Everi options

Closest to current price Everi long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Everi Holdings' future price is the expected price of Everi Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Everi Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Everi Holdings Backtesting, Everi Holdings Valuation, Everi Holdings Correlation, Everi Holdings Hype Analysis, Everi Holdings Volatility, Everi Holdings History as well as Everi Holdings Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Everi Stock please use our How to Invest in Everi Holdings guide.
  
As of now, Everi Holdings' Price To Book Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Everi Holdings' current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 4.81, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.98. Please specify Everi Holdings' target price for which you would like Everi Holdings odds to be computed.

Everi Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 11.63

The tendency of Everi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.63  after 90 days
 9.55 90 days 11.63 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everi Holdings to stay under $ 11.63  after 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Everi Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Everi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everi Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 9.55  and $ 11.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Everi Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Everi Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Everi Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Everi Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everi Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Everi Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.459.4112.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5512.5115.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.2810.2313.19
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Everi Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Everi Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Everi Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Everi Holdings.

Everi Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everi Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everi Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everi Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everi Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.38
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Everi Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everi Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everi Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everi Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Everi Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Everi Holdings Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - Defense World

Everi Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everi Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everi Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92 M
Cash And Short Term Investments272.4 M

Everi Holdings Technical Analysis

Everi Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everi Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Everi Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Everi Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Everi Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everi Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Everi Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Everi Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everi Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everi Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Everi Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Everi Holdings Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy by Brokerages - Defense World
When determining whether Everi Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Everi Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Everi Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Everi Holdings Stock:

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When running Everi Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Everi Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Everi Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Everi Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Everi Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Everi Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Everi Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Everi Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Everi Holdings. If investors know Everi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Everi Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.93)
Earnings Share
0.91
Revenue Per Share
9.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
0.0597
The market value of Everi Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Everi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Everi Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Everi Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Everi Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Everi Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Everi Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Everi Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Everi Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.