Dxc Technology Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.24

DXC Stock  USD 21.21  0.15  0.71%   
DXC Technology's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on DXC Technology Co. Implied volatility approximates the future value of DXC Technology based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in DXC Technology Co over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $21.0 is a CALL option contract on DXC Technology's common stock with a strick price of 21.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-25 at 09:30:11 for $0.45 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $1.95. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 58.79. View All DXC options

Closest to current price DXC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

DXC Technology's future price is the expected price of DXC Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DXC Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DXC Technology Backtesting, DXC Technology Valuation, DXC Technology Correlation, DXC Technology Hype Analysis, DXC Technology Volatility, DXC Technology History as well as DXC Technology Performance.
  
At present, DXC Technology's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 4.96, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (12.21). Please specify DXC Technology's target price for which you would like DXC Technology odds to be computed.

DXC Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 33.24

The tendency of DXC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 33.24  or more in 90 days
 21.21 90 days 33.24 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DXC Technology to move over $ 33.24  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This DXC Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of DXC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DXC Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 21.21  and $ 33.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.0 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DXC Technology will likely underperform. Additionally DXC Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   DXC Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DXC Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DXC Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DXC Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2621.2123.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7521.7023.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4021.3423.29
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6024.8327.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DXC Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DXC Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DXC Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DXC Technology.

DXC Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DXC Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DXC Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DXC Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DXC Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

DXC Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DXC Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DXC Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DXC Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.43 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (566 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.58 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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DXC Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DXC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DXC Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DXC Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding223.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

DXC Technology Technical Analysis

DXC Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DXC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DXC Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing DXC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DXC Technology Predictive Forecast Models

DXC Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many DXC Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DXC Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DXC Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about DXC Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DXC Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DXC Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.43 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (566 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.58 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from fool.com.au: Buy ANZ and this ASX dividend share now
When determining whether DXC Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DXC Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dxc Technology Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dxc Technology Co Stock:

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When running DXC Technology's price analysis, check to measure DXC Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DXC Technology is operating at the current time. Most of DXC Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DXC Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DXC Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DXC Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DXC Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DXC Technology. If investors know DXC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DXC Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.24
Earnings Share
(1.85)
Revenue Per Share
67.173
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of DXC Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DXC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DXC Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DXC Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DXC Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DXC Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DXC Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DXC Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DXC Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.