Dropbox Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.67
| DBX Stock | USD 22.92 0.07 0.30% |
Closest to current price Dropbox long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dropbox |
Dropbox Target Price Odds to finish over 26.67
The tendency of Dropbox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 26.67 or more in 90 days |
| 22.92 | 90 days | 26.67 | about 54.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dropbox to move over $ 26.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.66 (This Dropbox probability density function shows the probability of Dropbox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dropbox price to stay between its current price of $ 22.92 and $ 26.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting Dropbox market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dropbox is expected to follow. Additionally Dropbox has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Dropbox Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dropbox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dropbox. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dropbox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dropbox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dropbox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dropbox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dropbox, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dropbox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Dropbox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dropbox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dropbox can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dropbox generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dropbox has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Harel Insurance Investments Financial Services Ltd. Boosts Stake in Dropbox, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Dropbox Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dropbox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dropbox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dropbox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 345.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Dropbox Technical Analysis
Dropbox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dropbox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dropbox. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dropbox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dropbox Predictive Forecast Models
Dropbox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dropbox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dropbox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dropbox
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dropbox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dropbox help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dropbox generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dropbox has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Harel Insurance Investments Financial Services Ltd. Boosts Stake in Dropbox, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out Dropbox Backtesting, Dropbox Valuation, Dropbox Correlation, Dropbox Hype Analysis, Dropbox Volatility, Dropbox History as well as Dropbox Performance. For more information on how to buy Dropbox Stock please use our How to Invest in Dropbox guide.Note that the Dropbox information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dropbox's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Dropbox Stock analysis
When running Dropbox's price analysis, check to measure Dropbox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dropbox is operating at the current time. Most of Dropbox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dropbox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dropbox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dropbox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dropbox's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dropbox. If investors know Dropbox will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dropbox listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Earnings Share 1.31 | Revenue Per Share 7.332 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets 0.0787 |
The market value of Dropbox is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dropbox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dropbox's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dropbox's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dropbox's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dropbox's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dropbox's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dropbox is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dropbox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.