Bancolombia Sa Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.51
| CIB Stock | USD 33.29 0.18 0.54% |
Closest to current price Bancolombia long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Bancolombia |
Bancolombia Target Price Odds to finish below 52.51
The tendency of Bancolombia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 52.51 after 90 days |
| 33.29 | 90 days | 52.51 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bancolombia to stay under $ 52.51 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bancolombia SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Bancolombia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bancolombia SA ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 33.29 and $ 52.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.31 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bancolombia has a beta of 0.85 suggesting Bancolombia SA ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bancolombia is expected to follow. Additionally Bancolombia SA ADR has an alpha of 0.0693, implying that it can generate a 0.0693 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bancolombia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bancolombia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bancolombia SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bancolombia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bancolombia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bancolombia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bancolombia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bancolombia SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bancolombia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Bancolombia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bancolombia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bancolombia SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 11th of April 2024 Bancolombia paid $ 0.9125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for April 15th |
Bancolombia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bancolombia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bancolombia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bancolombia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -28 T |
Bancolombia Technical Analysis
Bancolombia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bancolombia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bancolombia SA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bancolombia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bancolombia Predictive Forecast Models
Bancolombia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bancolombia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bancolombia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bancolombia SA ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bancolombia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bancolombia SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 11th of April 2024 Bancolombia paid $ 0.9125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for April 15th |
Check out Bancolombia Backtesting, Bancolombia Valuation, Bancolombia Correlation, Bancolombia Hype Analysis, Bancolombia Volatility, Bancolombia History as well as Bancolombia Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Bancolombia Stock analysis
When running Bancolombia's price analysis, check to measure Bancolombia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bancolombia is operating at the current time. Most of Bancolombia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bancolombia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bancolombia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bancolombia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bancolombia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bancolombia. If investors know Bancolombia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bancolombia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 3.5 K | Earnings Share 6.63 | Revenue Per Share 21.7 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Bancolombia SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bancolombia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bancolombia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bancolombia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bancolombia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bancolombia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bancolombia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bancolombia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bancolombia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.