Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 59.99

C -- USA Stock  

USD 69.83  0.56  0.80%

Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Check also Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish over 59.99

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 59.99  in 30 days
 69.83 30 days 59.99 
ABOUT 58.28%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay above $ 59.99  in 30 days from now is about 58.28% (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 59.99  and its current price of $69.83 at the end of the 30-day period is about 23.3%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.5046 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Citigroup will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0146 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0146% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Citigroup Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.014609
β
Beta against DOW=1.50
σ
Overall volatility
=16.54
Ir
Information ratio =0.014749

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

Citigroup has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
CITIGROUP INC has accumulated about 737.7B in cash with (9.12B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 326.55.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.bloomberg.com: Citi Warns Trading Revenue to Fall Amid Third-Quarter Volatility - Bloomberg

CitigroupPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.81%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.80
Short Percent Of Float0.78%
Float Shares2.25B
Shares Short Prior Month18.38M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day15.08M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.82M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.56%
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