Blackstone Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.84

BX Stock  USD 131.37  0.48  0.37%   
Blackstone's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Blackstone Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Blackstone based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Blackstone Group over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $131.0 is a CALL option contract on Blackstone's common stock with a strick price of 131.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:43:16 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.71, and an ask price of $0.82. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 30.01. View All Blackstone options

Closest to current price Blackstone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Blackstone's future price is the expected price of Blackstone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackstone Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackstone Backtesting, Blackstone Valuation, Blackstone Correlation, Blackstone Hype Analysis, Blackstone Volatility, Blackstone History as well as Blackstone Performance.
  
At this time, Blackstone's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to rise to 13.51 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (1.24). Please specify Blackstone's target price for which you would like Blackstone odds to be computed.

Blackstone Target Price Odds to finish below 47.84

The tendency of Blackstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 47.84  or more in 90 days
 131.37 90 days 47.84 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackstone to drop to $ 47.84  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blackstone Group probability density function shows the probability of Blackstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackstone Group price to stay between $ 47.84  and its current price of $131.37 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Blackstone will likely underperform. Additionally Blackstone Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Blackstone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackstone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.27130.93132.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.03114.69143.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.11132.77134.42
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
97.96107.65119.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackstone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackstone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackstone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blackstone Group.

Blackstone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackstone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackstone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackstone Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackstone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.98
σ
Overall volatility
3.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Blackstone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackstone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackstone Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of February 2024 Blackstone paid $ 0.94 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Xi Jinping seeks to woo global CEOs, saying Chinas growth remains bright

Blackstone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding755.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 B

Blackstone Technical Analysis

Blackstone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackstone Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackstone Predictive Forecast Models

Blackstone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackstone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackstone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackstone Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackstone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackstone Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackstone Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of February 2024 Blackstone paid $ 0.94 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Xi Jinping seeks to woo global CEOs, saying Chinas growth remains bright
When determining whether Blackstone Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Blackstone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackstone Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackstone Group Stock:

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When running Blackstone's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blackstone's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
Dividend Share
3.35
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
10.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
The market value of Blackstone Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.