Brookline Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.92

BRKL Stock  USD 9.75  0.31  3.28%   
Brookline Bancorp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Brookline Bancorp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Brookline Bancorp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Brookline Bancorp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Brookline Bancorp's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-21 at 10:03:36 for $0.25 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 37.46. View All Brookline options

Closest to current price Brookline long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Brookline Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Brookline Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brookline Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brookline Bancorp Backtesting, Brookline Bancorp Valuation, Brookline Bancorp Correlation, Brookline Bancorp Hype Analysis, Brookline Bancorp Volatility, Brookline Bancorp History as well as Brookline Bancorp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Brookline Stock please use our How to buy in Brookline Stock guide.
  
At this time, Brookline Bancorp's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is expected to rise to 1.44 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 1.51. Please specify Brookline Bancorp's target price for which you would like Brookline Bancorp odds to be computed.

Brookline Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 14.92

The tendency of Brookline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 14.92  after 90 days
 9.75 90 days 14.92 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookline Bancorp to stay under $ 14.92  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Brookline Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Brookline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brookline Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 9.75  and $ 14.92  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.16 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brookline Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Brookline Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Brookline Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brookline Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookline Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookline Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.719.7411.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7510.7812.81
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.5111.5512.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.220.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brookline Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brookline Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brookline Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brookline Bancorp.

Brookline Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookline Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookline Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookline Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookline Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Brookline Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookline Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookline Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brookline Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Brookline Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 23rd of February 2024 Brookline Bancorp paid $ 0.135 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Century Companies Inc. Purchases 92291 Shares of Brookline Bancorp, Inc. - Defense World

Brookline Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookline Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookline Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments133 M

Brookline Bancorp Technical Analysis

Brookline Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookline Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brookline Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Brookline Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookline Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookline Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brookline Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookline Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookline Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brookline Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Brookline Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 23rd of February 2024 Brookline Bancorp paid $ 0.135 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Century Companies Inc. Purchases 92291 Shares of Brookline Bancorp, Inc. - Defense World
When determining whether Brookline Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Brookline Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Brookline Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Brookline Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Brookline Bancorp Backtesting, Brookline Bancorp Valuation, Brookline Bancorp Correlation, Brookline Bancorp Hype Analysis, Brookline Bancorp Volatility, Brookline Bancorp History as well as Brookline Bancorp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Brookline Stock please use our How to buy in Brookline Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Brookline Stock analysis

When running Brookline Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Brookline Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookline Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Brookline Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookline Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookline Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookline Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brookline Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brookline Bancorp. If investors know Brookline will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brookline Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Dividend Share
0.54
Earnings Share
0.85
Revenue Per Share
3.779
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.053
The market value of Brookline Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brookline that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brookline Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brookline Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brookline Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brookline Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brookline Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brookline Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brookline Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.