Brf Sa Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.37

BRFS Stock  USD 3.17  0.03  0.94%   
BRF SA's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on BRF SA ADR. Implied volatility approximates the future value of BRF SA based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in BRF SA ADR over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on BRF SA's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 11:49:13 for $0.7 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $0.7. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 78.81. View All BRF options

Closest to current price BRF long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

BRF SA's future price is the expected price of BRF SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BRF SA ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BRF SA Backtesting, BRF SA Valuation, BRF SA Correlation, BRF SA Hype Analysis, BRF SA Volatility, BRF SA History as well as BRF SA Performance.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.19 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (8.59). Please specify BRF SA's target price for which you would like BRF SA odds to be computed.

BRF SA Target Price Odds to finish below 9.37

The tendency of BRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.37  after 90 days
 3.17 90 days 9.37 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BRF SA to stay under $ 9.37  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BRF SA ADR probability density function shows the probability of BRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BRF SA ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 3.17  and $ 9.37  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BRF SA will likely underperform. Additionally BRF SA ADR has an alpha of 0.0272, implying that it can generate a 0.0272 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BRF SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BRF SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRF SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BRF SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.373.185.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.485.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.855.65
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.731.902.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BRF SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BRF SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BRF SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BRF SA ADR.

BRF SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BRF SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BRF SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BRF SA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BRF SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

BRF SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BRF SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BRF SA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.06 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Vital Farms, Inc. Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run

BRF SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BRF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BRF SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRF SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.7 B

BRF SA Technical Analysis

BRF SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BRF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BRF SA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing BRF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BRF SA Predictive Forecast Models

BRF SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many BRF SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BRF SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BRF SA ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about BRF SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BRF SA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.06 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Vital Farms, Inc. Hits Fresh High Is There Still Room to Run
When determining whether BRF SA ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze BRF SA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BRF SA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BRF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out BRF SA Backtesting, BRF SA Valuation, BRF SA Correlation, BRF SA Hype Analysis, BRF SA Volatility, BRF SA History as well as BRF SA Performance.
Note that the BRF SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BRF SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for BRF Stock analysis

When running BRF SA's price analysis, check to measure BRF SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BRF SA is operating at the current time. Most of BRF SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BRF SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BRF SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BRF SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Is BRF SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BRF SA. If investors know BRF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BRF SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.02
Earnings Share
(0.30)
Revenue Per Share
39.415
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0065
The market value of BRF SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BRF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BRF SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BRF SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BRF SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BRF SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BRF SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BRF SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BRF SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.