Bloomin Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.89

BLMN Stock  USD 28.68  0.04  0.14%   
Bloomin Brands' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bloomin Brands. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bloomin Brands based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bloomin Brands over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $27.5 is a CALL option contract on Bloomin Brands' common stock with a strick price of 27.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:47:12 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 28.39. View All Bloomin options

Closest to current price Bloomin long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Bloomin Brands' future price is the expected price of Bloomin Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bloomin Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bloomin Brands Backtesting, Bloomin Brands Valuation, Bloomin Brands Correlation, Bloomin Brands Hype Analysis, Bloomin Brands Volatility, Bloomin Brands History as well as Bloomin Brands Performance.
To learn how to invest in Bloomin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bloomin Brands guide.
  
At this time, Bloomin Brands' Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.07, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.39. Please specify Bloomin Brands' target price for which you would like Bloomin Brands odds to be computed.

Bloomin Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 14.89

The tendency of Bloomin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 14.89  in 90 days
 28.68 90 days 14.89 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bloomin Brands to stay above $ 14.89  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bloomin Brands probability density function shows the probability of Bloomin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bloomin Brands price to stay between $ 14.89  and its current price of $28.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bloomin Brands has a beta of 0.0758 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bloomin Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bloomin Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bloomin Brands has an alpha of 0.0731, implying that it can generate a 0.0731 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bloomin Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bloomin Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bloomin Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bloomin Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.7327.7429.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7925.8027.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.8725.8827.89
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.9828.5531.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bloomin Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bloomin Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bloomin Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bloomin Brands.

Bloomin Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bloomin Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bloomin Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bloomin Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bloomin Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Bloomin Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bloomin Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bloomin Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.09 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.18, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bloomin Brands has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Bloomin Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bloomin Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bloomin Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bloomin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bloomin Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Bloomin Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of Bloomin Brands shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of March 2024 Bloomin Brands paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Public Sector Pension Investment Board Has 2.65 Million Stake in Bloomin Brands, Inc. - Defense World

Bloomin Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bloomin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bloomin Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloomin Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments111.5 M

Bloomin Brands Technical Analysis

Bloomin Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bloomin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bloomin Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bloomin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bloomin Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Bloomin Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bloomin Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bloomin Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bloomin Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bloomin Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bloomin Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.09 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.18, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bloomin Brands has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Bloomin Brands until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bloomin Brands' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bloomin Brands sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bloomin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bloomin Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Bloomin Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of Bloomin Brands shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of March 2024 Bloomin Brands paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Public Sector Pension Investment Board Has 2.65 Million Stake in Bloomin Brands, Inc. - Defense World
When determining whether Bloomin Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bloomin Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bloomin Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bloomin Brands Stock:

Complementary Tools for Bloomin Stock analysis

When running Bloomin Brands' price analysis, check to measure Bloomin Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bloomin Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Bloomin Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bloomin Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bloomin Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bloomin Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bloomin Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bloomin Brands. If investors know Bloomin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bloomin Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
53.553
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
The market value of Bloomin Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bloomin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bloomin Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bloomin Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bloomin Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bloomin Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bloomin Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bloomin Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bloomin Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.