A10 Network Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.9

ATEN Stock  USD 13.68  0.16  1.18%   
A10 Network's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on A10 Network. Implied volatility approximates the future value of A10 Network based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in A10 Network over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on A10 Network's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 11:00:13 for $1.0 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.95, and an ask price of $2.5. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 79.1. View All A10 options

Closest to current price A10 long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

A10 Network's future price is the expected price of A10 Network instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of A10 Network performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out A10 Network Backtesting, A10 Network Valuation, A10 Network Correlation, A10 Network Hype Analysis, A10 Network Volatility, A10 Network History as well as A10 Network Performance.
To learn how to invest in A10 Stock, please use our How to Invest in A10 Network guide.
  
At this time, A10 Network's Price Cash Flow Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 4.21, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (2.32). Please specify A10 Network's target price for which you would like A10 Network odds to be computed.

A10 Network Target Price Odds to finish over 7.9

The tendency of A10 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 7.90  in 90 days
 13.68 90 days 7.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of A10 Network to stay above $ 7.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This A10 Network probability density function shows the probability of A10 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of A10 Network price to stay between $ 7.90  and its current price of $13.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, A10 Network will likely underperform. Additionally A10 Network has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   A10 Network Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for A10 Network

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as A10 Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of A10 Network's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7213.6715.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1514.1016.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0012.9514.90
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as A10 Network. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against A10 Network's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, A10 Network's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in A10 Network.

A10 Network Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. A10 Network is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the A10 Network's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold A10 Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of A10 Network within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

A10 Network Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of A10 Network for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for A10 Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
A10 Network has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of March 2024 A10 Network paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will Weakness in A10 Networks, Inc.s Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals

A10 Network Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of A10 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential A10 Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. A10 Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.3 M

A10 Network Technical Analysis

A10 Network's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. A10 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of A10 Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing A10 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

A10 Network Predictive Forecast Models

A10 Network's time-series forecasting models is one of many A10 Network's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary A10 Network's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about A10 Network

Checking the ongoing alerts about A10 Network for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for A10 Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
A10 Network has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of March 2024 A10 Network paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will Weakness in A10 Networks, Inc.s Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals
When determining whether A10 Network offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of A10 Network's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of A10 Network Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on A10 Network Stock:
Check out A10 Network Backtesting, A10 Network Valuation, A10 Network Correlation, A10 Network Hype Analysis, A10 Network Volatility, A10 Network History as well as A10 Network Performance.
To learn how to invest in A10 Stock, please use our How to Invest in A10 Network guide.
Note that the A10 Network information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other A10 Network's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running A10 Network's price analysis, check to measure A10 Network's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy A10 Network is operating at the current time. Most of A10 Network's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of A10 Network's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move A10 Network's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of A10 Network to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is A10 Network's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of A10 Network. If investors know A10 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about A10 Network listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.032
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
3.392
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of A10 Network is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of A10 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of A10 Network's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is A10 Network's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because A10 Network's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect A10 Network's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between A10 Network's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if A10 Network is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, A10 Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.