Ambow Education Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 5.75

AMBO -- USA Stock  

USD 4.08  0.0018  0.0441%

Ambow Education probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ambow Education time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ambow Education odds to be computed. Check also Ambow Education Backtesting, Ambow Education Valuation, Ambow Education Correlation, Ambow Education Hype Analysis, Ambow Education Volatility, Ambow Education History as well as Ambow Education Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Symbol:
Refresh Odds

Ambow Education Target Price Odds to finish over 5.75

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.75  or more in 30 days
 4.08 30 days 5.75  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambow Education to move over $ 5.75  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A probability density function shows the probability of Ambow Education Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ambow Education Hold price to stay between its current price of $ 4.08  and $ 5.75  at the end of the 30-day period is about 88.25%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Ambow Education has beta of 0.1815 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Ambow Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ambow Education Holding Ltd American Depository Shares each representing two Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ambow Education Hold is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ambow Education Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.35
β
Beta against DOW=0.18
σ
Overall volatility
=0.35
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Ambow Education Alerts and Suggestions

Ambow Education Hold generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ambow Education Hold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company currently holds 6.8M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 15.6 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Hold has Current Ratio of 0.84 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Ambow Education gains today

Ambow EducationPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.01%
Float Shares7.47M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.38k
Shares Short Prior Month2.41k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.28k
Date Short InterestApril 30, 2019
Search macroaxis.com