Ambow Education Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 5.75

AMBO -- USA Stock  

USD 2.02  0.02  1.00%

Ambow Education probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ambow Education Holding Ltd Am performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ambow Education time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ambow Education odds to be computed. Check also Ambow Education Backtesting, Ambow Education Valuation, Ambow Education Correlation, Ambow Education Hype Analysis, Ambow Education Volatility, Ambow Education History as well as Ambow Education Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ambow Education Target Price Odds to finish over 5.75

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.75  or more in 30 days
 2.02 30 days 5.75 
NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ambow Education to move over $ 5.75  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Ambow Education Holding Ltd Am probability density function shows the probability of Ambow Education Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ambow Education Hold price to stay between its current price of $ 2.02  and $ 5.75  at the end of the 30-day period is about 98.0%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.6574 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Ambow Education will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ambow Education Hold is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ambow Education Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=1
β
Beta against DOW=1.66
σ
Overall volatility
=0.46
Ir
Information ratio =0.14

Ambow Education Alerts and Suggestions

Ambow Education Hold generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ambow Education Hold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ambow Education Hold has accumulated $6.8 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company currently holds 6.8M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 79.0 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Hold has Current Ratio of 0.87 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.

Ambow EducationPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares7.57M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.12k
Shares Short Prior Month2.21k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.59k
Date Short InterestJuly 15, 2019
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