Correlation Between Short Term and Ultra Short-term

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Short Term and Ultra Short-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Short Term and Ultra Short-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Short Term Municipal Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Short Term and Ultra Short-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Short Term with a short position of Ultra Short-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Short Term and Ultra Short-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Short Term and Ultra Short-term

0.59

Correlation Coefficient

Short Term  Ultra Short-term

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Short and ULTRA is 0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Short Term Municipal Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Short Term and Short Term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Short Term Municipal Bond are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Short-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Short Term has no effect on the direction of Short Term i.e., Short Term and Ultra Short-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Short Term and Ultra Short-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Short Term is expected to generate 1.51 times less return on investment than Ultra Short-term. In addition to that, Short Term is 1.07 times more volatile than Ultra Short Term Municipal. It trades about 0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Short Term Municipal is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  954.00  in Ultra Short Term Municipal on February 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Ultra Short Term Municipal or generate 0.31% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Short Term Municipal Bond  vs.  Ultra Short Term Municipal

Short Term Municipal

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Short Term Municipal Bond are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Short Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra Short Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Short Term Municipal are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Ultra Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Short Term and Ultra Short-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Short Term and Ultra Short-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Short Term position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Short-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Short-term will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Short-term's long position.

The idea behind Short Term Municipal Bond and Ultra Short Term Municipal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.