Yirendai Stock Price Prediction
| YRD Stock | USD 4.71 0.10 2.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Yirendai stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Yirendai shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Yirendai's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Yirendai and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Yirendai's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yirendai, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Yirendai based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Yirendai stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Yirendai over a specific investment horizon. Using Yirendai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yirendai from the perspective of Yirendai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Yirendai. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yirendai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yirendai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Yirendai after-hype prediction price | USD 4.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Yirendai |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yirendai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Yirendai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yirendai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yirendai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yirendai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yirendai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yirendai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yirendai's historical news coverage. Yirendai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 9.71, respectively. We have considered Yirendai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yirendai is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yirendai is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yirendai Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yirendai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yirendai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yirendai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.71 | 4.71 | 0.00 |
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Yirendai Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Yirendai is traded for 4.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Yirendai is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Yirendai is about 3804.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.75. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.44. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Yirendai has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Yirendai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Yirendai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yirendai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yirendai's future price movements. Getting to know how Yirendai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yirendai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Yirendai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yirendai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yirendai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yirendai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Yirendai Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Yirendai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yirendai, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yirendai based on analysis of Yirendai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yirendai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yirendai's related companies. Story Coverage note for Yirendai
The number of cover stories for Yirendai depends on current market conditions and Yirendai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yirendai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yirendai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Yirendai Short Properties
Yirendai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yirendai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yirendai often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yirendai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yirendai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Check out Yirendai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Yirendai Stock refer to our How to Trade Yirendai Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Yirendai Stock analysis
When running Yirendai's price analysis, check to measure Yirendai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yirendai is operating at the current time. Most of Yirendai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yirendai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yirendai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yirendai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Yirendai's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yirendai. If investors know Yirendai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yirendai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Yirendai is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yirendai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yirendai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yirendai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yirendai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yirendai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yirendai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yirendai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yirendai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.