Yahoo Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Yahoo headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yahoo Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Yahoo hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Yahoo Inc from the prospective of Yahoo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Yahoo over a specific investment horizon. See also Yahoo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Yahoo estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
January 22, 2017
42.05
Current Value
Downside upside
42.14
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
45.62
Upside
Upside upside
Yahoo is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yahoo Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Yahoo Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.45% 1.16% 0.09%  0.01% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthAny time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.0542.140.21%
580.00% 

Yahoo Hype Timeline

Yahoo Inc is at this time traded for 42.05 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Yahoo Inc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 42.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 580.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.21% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Yahoo is about 4640.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 42.04. The company reported previous year revenue of 4.97 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.81 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.89 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be any time.
See also Yahoo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yahoo Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.00 0 per month 1.67  0.10 (2.17)  4.36 (2.99)  8.35 
CASINO GUICHARD PERR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Investor AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Federal National Mortgage Association 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.00  0.00 (0.97)  0.97 
Macquarie Group Limited(0.20) 1 per month 0.79 (0.0096) (0.88)  1.72 (1.49)  3.44 
Koninklijke Ahold NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Cathay Financial Holding Co Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FED NATL MTG PFD I 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.00  0.00 (0.97)  0.97