Yelp Inc Stock Price Prediction

YELP Stock  USD 39.10  0.85  2.22%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Yelp's share price is approaching 38. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yelp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

38

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Yelp Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Yelp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Yelp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Yelp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Yelp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yelp Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Yelp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.331
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.51
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.99
Wall Street Target Price
45.31
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Yelp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Yelp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Yelp over a specific investment horizon. Using Yelp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yelp Inc from the perspective of Yelp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Yelp using Yelp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Yelp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Yelp's stock price.

Yelp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Yelp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Yelp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Yelp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Yelp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Yelp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Yelp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
42.1004
Short Percent
0.0749
Short Ratio
3.45
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
40.877

Yelp Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Yelp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Yelp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Yelp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Yelp Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Yelp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Yelp.

Yelp Implied Volatility

    
  22.99  
Yelp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Yelp Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Yelp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Yelp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Yelp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Yelp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yelp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yelp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Yelp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Yelp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Yelp Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.44% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Yelp trading at USD 39.1, that is roughly USD 0.56 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Yelp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Yelp Inc options at the current volatility level of 22.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Yelp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Yelp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.1942.0644.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.2537.5639.87
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.8143.7548.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.040.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yelp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yelp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yelp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yelp Inc.

Yelp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Yelp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yelp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yelp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Yelp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Yelp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yelp's historical news coverage. Yelp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.77 and 41.39, respectively. We have considered Yelp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.10
39.08
After-hype Price
41.39
Upside
Yelp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yelp Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Yelp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yelp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yelp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yelp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.31
  0.02 
  0.07 
12 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.10
39.08
0.05 
3,850  
Notes

Yelp Hype Timeline

Yelp Inc is at this time traded for 39.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Yelp is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Yelp is about 962.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.17. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Yelp was at this time reported as 10.88. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4. Yelp Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Yelp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yelp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Yelp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yelp's future price movements. Getting to know how Yelp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yelp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Yelp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Yelp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yelp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yelp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Yelp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Yelp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yelp Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yelp based on analysis of Yelp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yelp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yelp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Fixed Asset Turnover4.596.8411.47.91
Current Ratio3.933.263.553.37

Story Coverage note for Yelp

The number of cover stories for Yelp depends on current market conditions and Yelp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yelp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yelp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Yelp Short Properties

Yelp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yelp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yelp Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yelp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yelp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments446.4 M
When determining whether Yelp Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Yelp Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Yelp Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Yelp Inc Stock:
Check out Yelp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Yelp Stock analysis

When running Yelp's price analysis, check to measure Yelp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yelp is operating at the current time. Most of Yelp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yelp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yelp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yelp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Yelp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yelp. If investors know Yelp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yelp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.331
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
19.316
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.108
Return On Assets
0.0699
The market value of Yelp Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yelp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yelp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yelp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yelp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yelp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yelp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yelp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yelp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.