Western Union Co Stock Price Prediction

WU Stock  USD 13.71  0.04  0.29%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Western Union's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Western Union, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Western Union stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Western Union shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Western Union's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Western Union and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Western Union's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Western Union Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Western Union's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.7
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.78
Wall Street Target Price
13
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Western Union based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Western stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Western Union over a specific investment horizon. Using Western Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Western Union Co from the perspective of Western Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Western Union using Western Union's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Western using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Western Union's stock price.

Western Union Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Western Union's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Western. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Western Union stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Western Union may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Western Union and may potentially protect profits, hedge Western Union with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
12.364
Short Percent
0.0861
Short Ratio
3.45
Shares Short Prior Month
18.6 M
50 Day MA
12.992

Western Union Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Western Union's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Western. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Western can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Western Union Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Western Union's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Western Union.

Western Union Implied Volatility

    
  23.78  
Western Union's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Western Union Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Western Union's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Western Union stock will not fluctuate a lot when Western Union's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Western Union. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Western Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Western because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Western Union after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Western contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Western Union Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.49% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Western Union trading at USD 13.71, that is roughly USD 0.2 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Western Union's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Western Union Co options at the current volatility level of 23.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1214.6716.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9313.4815.02
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.9813.1714.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.410.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Western Union. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Western Union's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Western Union's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Western Union.

Western Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Western Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Western Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Western Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Western Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Western Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Western Union's historical news coverage. Western Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.07 and 15.17, respectively. We have considered Western Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.71
13.62
After-hype Price
15.17
Upside
Western Union is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Western Union is based on 3 months time horizon.

Western Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Western Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Western Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Western Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.54
  0.09 
  0.23 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.71
13.62
0.66 
466.67  
Notes

Western Union Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Western Union is listed for 13.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Western is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Western Union is about 181.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.94. About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Western Union Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Western Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Western Union's future price movements. Getting to know how Western Union rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Western Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GLLIRGlobalink Investment Rights 0.00 3 per month 11.67  0.08  36.46 (27.08) 94.08 
ENLVEnlivex Therapeutics(0.16)5 per month 4.77  0.16  16.33 (8.30) 40.74 
WKEYWisekey International Holding 0.27 9 per month 6.31  0.11  13.95 (12.46) 48.12 
FUBOFubotvInc(0.10)9 per month 0.00 (0.24) 5.26 (7.04) 30.90 
MFHMercurity Fintech Holding 0.58 4 per month 0.00 (0.01) 17.07 (11.80) 55.84 
XTIAInpixon 5.20 4 per month 0.00 (0.20) 10.40 (11.13) 45.68 
RIOTRiot Blockchain 0.86 11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 11.81 (9.78) 26.75 
APLDApplied Blockchain 0.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 8.64 (8.25) 38.42 

Western Union Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Western price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Western using various technical indicators. When you analyze Western charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Western Union Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Western Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Western Union Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Western Union based on analysis of Western Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Western Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Western Union's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05260.06830.0790.0829
Price To Sales Ratio1.431.191.010.96

Story Coverage note for Western Union

The number of cover stories for Western Union depends on current market conditions and Western Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Western Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Western Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Western Union Short Properties

Western Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when Western Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Western Union Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Western Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding371.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether Western Union is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Western Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Western Union Co Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Western Union Co Stock:
Check out Western Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Western Stock analysis

When running Western Union's price analysis, check to measure Western Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Western Union is operating at the current time. Most of Western Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Western Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Western Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Western Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Is Western Union's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Western Union. If investors know Western will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Western Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Dividend Share
0.94
Earnings Share
1.68
Revenue Per Share
11.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Western Union is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Western that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Western Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Western Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Western Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Western Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Western Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Western Union is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.