World Acceptance Stock Price Prediction

WRLD Stock  USD 144.98  0.07  0.05%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of World Acceptance's share price is approaching 48. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling World Acceptance, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
World Acceptance stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of World Acceptance shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of World Acceptance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of World Acceptance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from World Acceptance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with World Acceptance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting World Acceptance's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.869
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.61
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.49
EPS Estimate Next Year
13.21
Wall Street Target Price
132
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of World Acceptance based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The World stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on World Acceptance over a specific investment horizon. Using World Acceptance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of World Acceptance from the perspective of World Acceptance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

World Acceptance Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to World Acceptance's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in World. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding World can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around World Acceptance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of World Acceptance's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about World Acceptance.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in World Acceptance. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in World Acceptance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying World because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

World Acceptance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 145.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade World Stock refer to our How to Trade World Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of World Acceptance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.94106.28159.40
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
87.6696.33106.93
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.874.342.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as World Acceptance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against World Acceptance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, World Acceptance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in World Acceptance.

World Acceptance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of World Acceptance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in World Acceptance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of World Acceptance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

World Acceptance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting World Acceptance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on World Acceptance's historical news coverage. World Acceptance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.70 and 148.38, respectively. We have considered World Acceptance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
144.98
141.70
Downside
145.04
After-hype Price
148.38
Upside
World Acceptance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of World Acceptance is based on 3 months time horizon.

World Acceptance Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as World Acceptance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading World Acceptance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with World Acceptance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
3.32
  0.13 
  0.11 
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
144.98
145.04
0.09 
544.26  
Notes

World Acceptance Hype Timeline

World Acceptance is at this time traded for 144.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. World is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 145.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on World Acceptance is about 669.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.87. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 616.56 M. Net Income was 21.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 357.09 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out World Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade World Stock refer to our How to Trade World Stock guide.

World Acceptance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to World Acceptance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict World Acceptance's future price movements. Getting to know how World Acceptance rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how World Acceptance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VVisa Class A(0.51)10 per month 0.77 (0.02) 1.27 (1.22) 4.97 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment(5.32)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.19 (2.48) 11.38 
MBTCNocturne Acquisition Corp 0.00 4 per month 3.13 (0) 10.55 (8.26) 33.04 
MCAAMountain I Acquisition 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (1.33) 0.18 (0.09) 0.35 
MCAGMountain Crest Acquisition(0.11)2 per month 0.18 (0.53) 0.28 (0.28) 2.14 
MCACMonterey Capital Acquisition 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.75) 0.28 (0.09) 0.64 
MCAFMountain Crest Acquisition 1.10 1 per month 9.58  0.09  40.22 (15.23) 94.37 
DISTDistoken Acquisition 0.02 2 per month 0.23 (0.38) 0.56 (0.56) 1.96 
MCVTMill City Ventures(0.18)2 per month 4.90  0.02  8.79 (7.97) 23.44 
MSSAUMetal Sky Star 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (2.28) 0.00  0.00  0.45 

World Acceptance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine World price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for World using various technical indicators. When you analyze World charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About World Acceptance Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of World Acceptance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as World Acceptance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of World Acceptance based on analysis of World Acceptance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to World Acceptance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to World Acceptance's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio21.622.5520.321.31
Short Term Coverage Ratios11.6412.5911.3311.9

Story Coverage note for World Acceptance

The number of cover stories for World Acceptance depends on current market conditions and World Acceptance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that World Acceptance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about World Acceptance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

World Acceptance Short Properties

World Acceptance's future price predictability will typically decrease when World Acceptance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of World Acceptance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential World Acceptance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. World Acceptance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.5 M
When determining whether World Acceptance is a strong investment it is important to analyze World Acceptance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact World Acceptance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding World Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Acceptance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade World Stock refer to our How to Trade World Stock guide.
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Is World Acceptance's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of World Acceptance. If investors know World will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about World Acceptance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.869
Earnings Share
11.35
Revenue Per Share
100.58
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
0.0727
The market value of World Acceptance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of World that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of World Acceptance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is World Acceptance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because World Acceptance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect World Acceptance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between World Acceptance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if World Acceptance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, World Acceptance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.