Walker Dunlop Stock Price Prediction
| WD Stock | USD 89.98 0.93 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Walker Dunlop stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Walker Dunlop shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Walker Dunlop's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Walker Dunlop and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Walker Dunlop's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walker Dunlop, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Walker Dunlop's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.78 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.48 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.98 | Wall Street Target Price 108.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Walker Dunlop based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Walker stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Walker Dunlop over a specific investment horizon. Using Walker Dunlop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walker Dunlop from the perspective of Walker Dunlop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Walker Dunlop using Walker Dunlop's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Walker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Walker Dunlop's stock price.
Walker Dunlop Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Walker Dunlop's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Walker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Walker Dunlop stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Walker Dunlop may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Walker Dunlop and may potentially protect profits, hedge Walker Dunlop with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 87.8294 | Short Percent 0.0602 | Short Ratio 5.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 94.219 |
Walker Dunlop Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Walker Dunlop's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Walker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walker Dunlop. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Walker Dunlop's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Walker Dunlop.
Walker Dunlop Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Walker Dunlop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walker Dunlop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walker Dunlop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walker Dunlop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walker Dunlop's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Walker Dunlop. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Walker Dunlop to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Walker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Walker Dunlop after-hype prediction price | USD 89.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Walker contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Walker Dunlop will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Walker Dunlop trading at USD 89.98, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Walker Dunlop's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Walker Dunlop options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Walker |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walker Dunlop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Walker Dunlop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Walker Dunlop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Walker Dunlop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Walker Dunlop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Walker Dunlop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Walker Dunlop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Walker Dunlop's historical news coverage. Walker Dunlop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.81 and 91.85, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Walker Dunlop is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walker Dunlop is based on 3 months time horizon.
Walker Dunlop Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Walker Dunlop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walker Dunlop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Walker Dunlop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.02 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
89.98 | 89.83 | 0.17 |
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Walker Dunlop Hype Timeline
As of April 19, 2024 Walker Dunlop is listed for 89.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Walker is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 89.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Walker Dunlop is about 236.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.85. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Walker Dunlop has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Walker Dunlop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Walker Dunlop Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Walker Dunlop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Walker Dunlop's future price movements. Getting to know how Walker Dunlop's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Walker Dunlop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.81) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.83 | (4.22) | 13.16 | |
| PFSI | PennyMac Finl Svcs | (1.66) | 12 per month | 1.88 | 0.01 | 2.79 | (2.64) | 11.66 | |
| TBCRF | Timbercreek Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 9.89 | |
| GHLD | Guild HoldingsCo | (0.95) | 6 per month | 2.18 | (0.02) | 4.59 | (3.65) | 11.53 |
Walker Dunlop Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Walker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Walker Dunlop Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Walker Dunlop stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Walker Dunlop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walker Dunlop based on analysis of Walker Dunlop hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Walker Dunlop's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Walker Dunlop's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0137 | 0.0316 | 0.0234 | 0.0222 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.72 | 2.02 | 3.44 | 3.61 |
Story Coverage note for Walker Dunlop
The number of cover stories for Walker Dunlop depends on current market conditions and Walker Dunlop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Walker Dunlop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Walker Dunlop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Walker Dunlop Short Properties
Walker Dunlop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Walker Dunlop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Walker Dunlop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Walker Dunlop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walker Dunlop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 534.2 M |
Check out Walker Dunlop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.Note that the Walker Dunlop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walker Dunlop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Walker Stock analysis
When running Walker Dunlop's price analysis, check to measure Walker Dunlop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walker Dunlop is operating at the current time. Most of Walker Dunlop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walker Dunlop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walker Dunlop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walker Dunlop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walker Dunlop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walker Dunlop. If investors know Walker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walker Dunlop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 2.52 | Earnings Share 3.18 | Revenue Per Share 30.474 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Walker Dunlop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walker Dunlop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walker Dunlop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walker Dunlop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walker Dunlop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walker Dunlop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walker Dunlop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walker Dunlop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.