Vornado Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction

VNO Stock  USD 28.77  1.29  4.69%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Vornado Realty's share price is approaching 37. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vornado Realty, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Vornado Realty Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vornado Realty shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vornado Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vornado Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vornado Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vornado Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vornado Realty's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.893
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.08)
Wall Street Target Price
24.83
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vornado Realty based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vornado stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vornado Realty over a specific investment horizon. Using Vornado Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vornado Realty Trust from the perspective of Vornado Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vornado Realty using Vornado Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vornado using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vornado Realty's stock price.

Vornado Realty Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Vornado Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vornado. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vornado Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Vornado Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vornado Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vornado Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
23.5712
Short Percent
0.1392
Short Ratio
7.45
Shares Short Prior Month
18.5 M
50 Day MA
26.4448

Vornado Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vornado Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vornado. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vornado can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vornado Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vornado Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vornado Realty.

Vornado Realty Implied Volatility

    
  43.06  
Vornado Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vornado Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vornado Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vornado Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vornado Realty's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vornado Realty. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vornado Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vornado because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vornado Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vornado contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vornado Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.69% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Vornado Realty trading at USD 28.77, that is roughly USD 0.77 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vornado Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vornado Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 43.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Vornado Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vornado Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6923.3931.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3028.0030.70
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.7020.5522.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.07-0.07-0.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vornado Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vornado Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vornado Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vornado Realty Trust.

Vornado Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vornado Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vornado Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vornado Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vornado Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vornado Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vornado Realty's historical news coverage. Vornado Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.07 and 31.47, respectively. We have considered Vornado Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.77
28.77
After-hype Price
31.47
Upside
Vornado Realty is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vornado Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vornado Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vornado Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vornado Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vornado Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.71
  0.02 
 0.00  
12 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.77
28.77
0.00 
483.93  
Notes

Vornado Realty Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March Vornado Realty Trust is traded for 28.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vornado is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vornado Realty is about 2710.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.77. About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vornado Realty Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2023. The firm had 1237:1000 split on the 18th of July 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Vornado Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vornado Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vornado Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vornado Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Vornado Realty rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vornado Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VNO-PLVornado Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.13 (2.13) 6.56 
VNO-PMVornado Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 1.05 (0.08) 2.16 (1.82) 5.90 
VNO-PNVornado Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.99 (0.11) 2.18 (1.48) 5.81 
VNO-POVornado Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.33 (2.22) 6.86 
FISKEmpire State Realty 0.00 8 per month 2.18 (0.05) 4.17 (3.60) 18.78 
OGCPEmpire State Realty 0.56 8 per month 2.63  0.01  3.50 (5.43) 18.83 
BDNBrandywine Realty Trust 0.14 13 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.23 (4.72) 11.14 

Vornado Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vornado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vornado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vornado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vornado Realty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vornado Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vornado Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vornado Realty based on analysis of Vornado Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vornado Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vornado Realty's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05890.120.03540.0337
Price To Sales Ratio5.052.222.985.41

Story Coverage note for Vornado Realty

The number of cover stories for Vornado Realty depends on current market conditions and Vornado Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vornado Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vornado Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vornado Realty Short Properties

Vornado Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vornado Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vornado Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vornado Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vornado Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding191.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments997 M
When determining whether Vornado Realty Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vornado Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vornado Realty Trust Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vornado Realty Trust Stock:
Check out Vornado Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Vornado Stock analysis

When running Vornado Realty's price analysis, check to measure Vornado Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vornado Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Vornado Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vornado Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vornado Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vornado Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vornado Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vornado Realty. If investors know Vornado will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vornado Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.893
Dividend Share
0.675
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
9.863
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Vornado Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vornado that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vornado Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vornado Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vornado Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vornado Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vornado Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vornado Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vornado Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.