Third Avenue Real Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TVRVX Fund  USD 20.72  0.18  0.88%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0156, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Third Avenue are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Third Avenue is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Third Avenue Real has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Third Avenue is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q4 2023 Portfolio Manager Commentary - Seeking Alpha
01/31/2024
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2023
Expense Ratio1.4000
  

Third Avenue Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,111  in Third Avenue Real on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding Third Avenue Real or give up 1.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Third Avenue Real is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.9418% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Third, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Third Avenue is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Third Avenue Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
20.72
Please note that Third Avenue's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Third Avenue Real has a current Real Value of $20.9 per share. The regular price of the fund is $20.72. We determine the value of Third Avenue Real from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Our valuation method for Third Avenue Real is useful when determining the fair value of the Third mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Third Avenue. Since Third Avenue is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Third Mutual Fund. However, Third Avenue's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.72 Real  20.9 Hype  20.72
The real value of Third Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Third Avenue Real Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Third Avenue's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Third Avenue's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Third Avenue's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
20.90
Real Value
21.84
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Third Avenue Real helps investors to forecast how Third mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Third Avenue more accurately as focusing exclusively on Third Avenue's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7820.7221.66
Details

Third Avenue Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Third Avenue's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Third Avenue Real, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Third Avenue's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0273

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.94
  actual daily
8
92% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
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Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Third Avenue is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Third Avenue by adding Third Avenue to a well-diversified portfolio.

Third Avenue Fundamentals Growth

Third Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Third Avenue, and Third Avenue fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Third Mutual Fund performance.

About Third Avenue Performance

To evaluate Third Avenue Real Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Third Avenue generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Third Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Third Avenue Real market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Third's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its objective primarily by investing in equity securities, including common stocks and convertible securities, of well-financed real estate and real estate-related companies, or in companies which own significant real estate assets or derive a significant portion of gross revenues or net profits from real estate-related companies at the time of investment. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets will be invested in securities of real estate and real estate-related companies.

Things to note about Third Avenue Real performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Third Avenue for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Third Avenue Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Third Avenue Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Third Avenue Real maintains 93.26% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Third Avenue's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Third Avenue's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Third Avenue's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Third Avenue's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Third Avenue's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Third Avenue's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Third Avenue's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Third Avenue's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Third Avenue's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Third Avenue's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Third Avenue's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Third Avenue Real. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Third Avenue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Third Avenue is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Third Avenue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.