Target Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TGT -- USA Stock  

USD 107.04  0.95  0.88%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 15, 2019
107.04
Current Value
108.20
After-hype Price
116.90
Upside
Target is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 3 months time horizon.

Target Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.37% 2.90% 1.16%  0.02% 22 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 22 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
107.04108.201.08%
92.65% 

Target Hype Timeline

On 15 of September Target is traded for 107.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Target Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 108.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 92.65%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 1.08% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 4461.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 107.02. The company reported last year revenue of 76.85B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.14B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.06B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 22 days.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Barnes Noble(0.02) 11 per month 1.14  0.11  3.31 (3.21)  31.61 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.24) 9 per month 2.76  0.07  4.89 (4.72)  20.22 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(0.33) 20 per month 1.76  0.0136  3.26 (2.70)  7.83 
Target Corporation 3.13 22 per month 1.02  0.13  2.69 (2.22)  23.09 
Sysco Corporation(0.72) 21 per month 0.75  0.12  1.79 (1.47)  4.62 
Rite Aid Corporation 0.05 16 per month 3.91  0.12  10.10 (7.07)  31.83 
SuperValu 0.02 1 per month 0.00  0.10  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na(0.47) 26 per month 3.57  0.0152  5.75 (5.16)  17.54 
Sprouts Farmers Market(0.05) 23 per month 0.00 (0.0269)  3.49 (3.33)  10.77 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(2.02) 18 per month 1.36  0.09  2.32 (2.31)  9.10 

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Latest Prospective on Target

Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
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