Molson Coors Brewing Stock Price Prediction
| TAP Stock | USD 63.26 1.51 2.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Molson Coors Brewing stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Molson Coors shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Molson Coors' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Molson Coors and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Molson Coors' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Molson Coors Brewing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Molson Coors' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.67 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.96 | Wall Street Target Price 68.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Molson Coors based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Molson stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Molson Coors over a specific investment horizon. Using Molson Coors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Molson Coors Brewing from the perspective of Molson Coors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Molson Coors using Molson Coors' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Molson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Molson Coors' stock price.
Molson Coors Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Molson Coors' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Molson. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Molson Coors stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Molson Coors may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Molson Coors and may potentially protect profits, hedge Molson Coors with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 63.11 | Short Percent 0.0605 | Short Ratio 5.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.4 M | 50 Day MA 64.6126 |
Molson Coors Brewing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Molson Coors' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Molson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Molson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Molson Coors Brewing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Molson Coors' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Molson Coors.
Molson Coors Implied Volatility | 54.36 |
Molson Coors' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Molson Coors Brewing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Molson Coors' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Molson Coors stock will not fluctuate a lot when Molson Coors' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Molson Coors. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Molson Coors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Molson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Molson Coors after-hype prediction price | USD 63.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Molson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Molson Coors Brewing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.4% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Molson Coors trading at USD 63.26, that is roughly USD 2.15 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Molson Coors' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Molson Coors Brewing options at the current volatility level of 54.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Molson |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Molson Coors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Molson Coors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Molson Coors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Molson Coors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Molson Coors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Molson Coors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Molson Coors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Molson Coors' historical news coverage. Molson Coors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.00 and 64.46, respectively. We have considered Molson Coors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Molson Coors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Molson Coors Brewing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Molson Coors Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Molson Coors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Molson Coors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Molson Coors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.23 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
63.26 | 63.23 | 0.05 |
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Molson Coors Hype Timeline
On the 17th of April 2024 Molson Coors Brewing is traded for 63.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Molson is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 63.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 117.14%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Molson Coors is about 259.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.27. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Molson Coors Brewing last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 4th of October 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Molson Coors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Molson Coors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Molson Coors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Molson Coors' future price movements. Getting to know how Molson Coors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Molson Coors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | 3.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.56 | (2.44) | 14.81 | |
| CABGY | Carlsberg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.03) | 1.94 | (2.05) | 6.58 | |
| TAP-A | Molson Coors Beverage | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.12 | (0.73) | 8.86 | |
| HEINY | Heineken NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.96 | (1.62) | 7.61 | |
| TSGTY | Tsingtao Brewery Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.52 | (3.98) | 12.48 | |
| STBFY | Suntory Beverage Food | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.48 | (2.60) | 8.59 |
Molson Coors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Molson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Molson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Molson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Molson Coors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Molson Coors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Molson Coors Brewing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Molson Coors based on analysis of Molson Coors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Molson Coors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Molson Coors's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0147 | 0.0295 | 0.0235 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.98 | 1.04 | 1.02 |
Story Coverage note for Molson Coors
The number of cover stories for Molson Coors depends on current market conditions and Molson Coors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Molson Coors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Molson Coors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Molson Coors Short Properties
Molson Coors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Molson Coors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Molson Coors Brewing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Molson Coors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Molson Coors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 217.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 868.9 M |
Check out Molson Coors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Molson Coors Brewing information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Molson Coors' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Molson Stock analysis
When running Molson Coors' price analysis, check to measure Molson Coors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Molson Coors is operating at the current time. Most of Molson Coors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Molson Coors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Molson Coors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Molson Coors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Molson Coors' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Molson Coors. If investors know Molson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Molson Coors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | Dividend Share 1.64 | Earnings Share 4.37 | Revenue Per Share 54.176 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of Molson Coors Brewing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Molson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Molson Coors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Molson Coors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Molson Coors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Molson Coors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Molson Coors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Molson Coors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Molson Coors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.