Nxp Semiconductors Nv Stock Price Prediction
| NXPI Stock | USD 222.20 4.72 2.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
NXP Semiconductors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of NXP Semiconductors shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of NXP Semiconductors' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NXP Semiconductors and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NXP Semiconductors' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NXP Semiconductors NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NXP Semiconductors' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.58 | EPS Estimate Next Year 15.52 | Wall Street Target Price 249.26 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NXP Semiconductors based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The NXP stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NXP Semiconductors over a specific investment horizon. Using NXP Semiconductors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NXP Semiconductors NV from the perspective of NXP Semiconductors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NXP Semiconductors using NXP Semiconductors' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NXP using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NXP Semiconductors' stock price.
NXP Semiconductors Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in NXP Semiconductors' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NXP. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of NXP Semiconductors stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long NXP Semiconductors may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NXP Semiconductors and may potentially protect profits, hedge NXP Semiconductors with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 214.5105 | Short Percent 0.0206 | Short Ratio 1.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 241.0992 |
NXP Semiconductors Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NXP Semiconductors' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NXP. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NXP can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NXP Semiconductors NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NXP Semiconductors' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NXP Semiconductors.
NXP Semiconductors Implied Volatility | 93.16 |
NXP Semiconductors' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NXP Semiconductors NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NXP Semiconductors' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NXP Semiconductors stock will not fluctuate a lot when NXP Semiconductors' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in NXP Semiconductors. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NXP Semiconductors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NXP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NXP Semiconductors after-hype prediction price | USD 221.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NXP contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NXP Semiconductors NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.82% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With NXP Semiconductors trading at USD 222.2, that is roughly USD 12.94 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NXP Semiconductors' daily price movement you should consider acquiring NXP Semiconductors NV options at the current volatility level of 93.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
NXP |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NXP Semiconductors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NXP Semiconductors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NXP Semiconductors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NXP Semiconductors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NXP Semiconductors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NXP Semiconductors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NXP Semiconductors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NXP Semiconductors' historical news coverage. NXP Semiconductors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 219.61 and 223.33, respectively. We have considered NXP Semiconductors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NXP Semiconductors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NXP Semiconductors is based on 3 months time horizon.
NXP Semiconductors Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NXP Semiconductors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NXP Semiconductors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NXP Semiconductors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.86 | 0.73 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
222.20 | 221.47 | 0.33 |
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NXP Semiconductors Hype Timeline
NXP Semiconductors is now traded for 222.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. NXP is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 221.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 23.08%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on NXP Semiconductors is about 274.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 222.26. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.12. NXP Semiconductors recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out NXP Semiconductors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NXP Semiconductors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NXP Semiconductors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NXP Semiconductors' future price movements. Getting to know how NXP Semiconductors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NXP Semiconductors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADI | Analog Devices | 2.36 | 12 per month | 1.66 | (0.02) | 2.45 | (2.50) | 7.59 | |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | 0.30 | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.11 | 3.99 | (2.68) | 9.57 | |
| AVGO | Broadcom | (0.63) | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.08 | 5.64 | (3.35) | 14.57 | |
| MCHP | Microchip Technology | 1.29 | 10 per month | 2.03 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (3.90) | 11.12 | |
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | 0.44 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.57 | (5.97) | 20.65 | |
| MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | 2.45 | 10 per month | 2.14 | 0.05 | 4.54 | (3.56) | 18.81 | |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | 0.56 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.92 | (3.62) | 15.15 | |
| LSCC | Lattice Semiconductor | 1.42 | 11 per month | 2.75 | 0.03 | 4.49 | (4.05) | 10.93 | |
| QRVO | Qorvo Inc | 2.27 | 12 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 3.61 | (3.32) | 11.79 | |
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | (0.95) | 9 per month | 1.35 | (0.02) | 2.63 | (2.45) | 6.88 | |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | 0.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.16 | (2.59) | 8.02 | |
| SYNA | Synaptics Incorporated | (1.87) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.89 | (3.59) | 10.39 |
NXP Semiconductors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NXP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NXP using various technical indicators. When you analyze NXP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NXP Semiconductors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NXP Semiconductors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NXP Semiconductors NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NXP Semiconductors based on analysis of NXP Semiconductors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NXP Semiconductors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NXP Semiconductors's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009115 | 0.0197 | 0.017 | 0.00896 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.57 | 3.13 | 4.47 | 2.32 |
Story Coverage note for NXP Semiconductors
The number of cover stories for NXP Semiconductors depends on current market conditions and NXP Semiconductors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NXP Semiconductors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NXP Semiconductors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NXP Semiconductors Short Properties
NXP Semiconductors' future price predictability will typically decrease when NXP Semiconductors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NXP Semiconductors NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NXP Semiconductors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NXP Semiconductors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 261.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
Check out NXP Semiconductors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for NXP Stock analysis
When running NXP Semiconductors' price analysis, check to measure NXP Semiconductors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NXP Semiconductors is operating at the current time. Most of NXP Semiconductors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NXP Semiconductors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NXP Semiconductors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NXP Semiconductors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NXP Semiconductors' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NXP Semiconductors. If investors know NXP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NXP Semiconductors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.056 | Earnings Share 10.7 | Revenue Per Share 51.381 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
The market value of NXP Semiconductors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NXP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NXP Semiconductors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NXP Semiconductors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NXP Semiconductors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NXP Semiconductors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NXP Semiconductors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NXP Semiconductors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NXP Semiconductors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.