Nmi Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NMIH Stock | USD 30.48 0.45 1.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
NMI Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of NMI Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of NMI Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NMI Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NMI Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NMI Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NMI Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.98 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.53 | Wall Street Target Price 36.14 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NMI Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The NMI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NMI Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using NMI Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NMI Holdings from the perspective of NMI Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NMI Holdings using NMI Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NMI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NMI Holdings' stock price.
NMI Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in NMI Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NMI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of NMI Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long NMI Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NMI Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge NMI Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.8245 | Short Percent 0.021 | Short Ratio 2.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 30.2168 |
NMI Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NMI Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NMI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NMI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NMI Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NMI Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NMI Holdings.
NMI Holdings Implied Volatility | 29.38 |
NMI Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NMI Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NMI Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NMI Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when NMI Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in NMI Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NMI Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NMI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NMI Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 30.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NMI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NMI Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NMI Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NMI Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NMI Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NMI Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NMI Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NMI Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NMI Holdings' historical news coverage. NMI Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.01 and 31.97, respectively. We have considered NMI Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NMI Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NMI Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
NMI Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NMI Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NMI Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NMI Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.48 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.48 | 30.49 | 0.03 |
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NMI Holdings Hype Timeline
NMI Holdings is now traded for 30.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. NMI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 30.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on NMI Holdings is about 2072.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.48. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 579 M. Net Income was 322.11 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 411.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out NMI Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NMI Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NMI Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NMI Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how NMI Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NMI Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBI | MBIA Inc | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.34 | 0.02 | 4.23 | (4.05) | 16.58 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | (0.26) | 11 per month | 1.29 | (0.04) | 1.78 | (2.09) | 14.51 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (1.55) | 5.48 | |
| JRVR | James River Group | (0.31) | 10 per month | 4.14 | 0.04 | 5.62 | (3.85) | 24.31 | |
| ICCH | ICC Holdings | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.07 | (0.01) | 3.16 | (2.90) | 9.23 | |
| AMBC | Ambac Financial Group | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.03 | (4.21) | 10.03 | |
| AMSF | AMERISAFE | (0.59) | 10 per month | 0.93 | 0.04 | 2.32 | (1.51) | 5.30 |
NMI Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NMI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NMI using various technical indicators. When you analyze NMI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NMI Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NMI Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NMI Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NMI Holdings based on analysis of NMI Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NMI Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NMI Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005831 | 0.007266 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.22 | 4.01 |
Story Coverage note for NMI Holdings
The number of cover stories for NMI Holdings depends on current market conditions and NMI Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NMI Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NMI Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NMI Holdings Short Properties
NMI Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when NMI Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NMI Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NMI Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NMI Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 333.3 M |
Check out NMI Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in NMI Stock please use our How to Invest in NMI Holdings guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
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When running NMI Holdings' price analysis, check to measure NMI Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NMI Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of NMI Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NMI Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NMI Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NMI Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NMI Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NMI Holdings. If investors know NMI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NMI Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | Earnings Share 3.84 | Revenue Per Share 7.026 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.137 | Return On Assets 0.1019 |
The market value of NMI Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NMI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NMI Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NMI Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NMI Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NMI Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NMI Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NMI Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NMI Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.