Nio Class A Stock Volatility

NIO Stock  USD 4.50  0.17  3.64%   
Nio Class A has Sharpe Ratio of -0.26, which conveys that the firm had a -0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nio exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nio's Standard Deviation of 4.02, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 3.06 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Nio's volatility include:
210 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
210 Days Economic Sensitivity
Nio Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Nio daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Nio's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Nio volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Nio can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Nio at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Nio stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Nio's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Nio Stock

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Moving against Nio Stock

  0.81TM Toyota Motor Financial Report 8th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.69EVTV Envirotech Vehicles Report 23rd of September 2024 PairCorr
  0.68GM General Motors Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.5DORM Dorman Products Financial Report 7th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.5ALV Autoliv Financial Report 19th of April 2024 PairCorr
  0.43HYZNW HYZON MotorsPairCorr

Nio Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Nio's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Nio stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Nio stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Nio's beta of 2.47 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Nio stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Nio Class A exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.68 and kurtosis of 1.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nio's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nio's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Nio Class A Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Nio correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Nio Beta

    
  2.47  
Nio standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.82  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Nio's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Nio's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in nio stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Nio.

Using Nio Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Nio grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Nio at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Nio Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Nio's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Nio will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Nio's PUT expiring on 2024-03-28

   Profit   
       Nio Price At Expiration  

Current Nio Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $7.0-0.82940.1518342024-03-282.13 - 2.492.46View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $6.0-0.95830.13753962024-03-281.27 - 1.341.32View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $5.5-0.69770.294642382024-03-280.72 - 1.030.8View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $5.0-0.90460.7525199632024-03-280.32 - 0.350.34View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $4.5-0.21981.274152652024-03-280.02 - 0.030.03View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $4.0-0.05060.228616312024-03-280.0 - 0.010.01View
Put
2024-03-28 PUT at $3.5-0.03180.09393392024-03-280.0 - 0.010.01View
View All Nio Options

Nio Class A Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Nio stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Nio's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Nio's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Nio's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Nio's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Nio's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Nio's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Nio's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Nio Class A Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Nio Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.4693 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nio will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nio or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nio's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nio stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Nio Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Nio's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how nio stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Nio Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Nio Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Nio is -377.98. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 14.59 and standard deviation of 3.82. The mean deviation of Nio Class A is currently at 2.93. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.47
σ
Overall volatility
3.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Nio Stock Return Volatility

Nio historical daily return volatility represents how much of Nio stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 3.82% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5689% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Nio Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Nio or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Nio may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Nio's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Nio and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Nio fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing ExpensesBB
Nio's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Nio Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Nio's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Nio's volatility to invest better

Higher Nio's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Nio Class A stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Nio Class A stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Nio Class A investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Nio's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Nio's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Nio Investment Opportunity

Nio Class A has a volatility of 3.82 and is 6.7 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 33 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Nio. You can use Nio Class A to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Nio to be traded at $4.32 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Nio Class A and NYA is 0.34 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Nio Class A and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Nio Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nio's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Nio stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Nio Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Nio as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Nio's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Nio's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Nio Class A.
When determining whether Nio Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nio Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nio Class A Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Nio Class A. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Nio's price analysis, check to measure Nio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio is operating at the current time. Most of Nio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. If investors know Nio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.74)
Revenue Per Share
32.713
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(0.73)
The market value of Nio Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.