Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock Volatility

MMC Stock  USD 201.73  4.11  2.08%   
We consider Marsh McLennan very steady. Marsh McLennan Companies has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0432, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0432% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Marsh McLennan, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Marsh McLennan's Mean Deviation of 0.6783, risk adjusted performance of 0.0433, and Downside Deviation of 0.9973 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.042%. Key indicators related to Marsh McLennan's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Marsh McLennan Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Marsh daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Marsh's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Marsh McLennan volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Marsh McLennan's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Marsh McLennan's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Marsh McLennan can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Marsh McLennan at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Marsh stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Marsh McLennan's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Marsh McLennan Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Marsh McLennan's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Marsh stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Marsh stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Marsh McLennan's beta of 0.49 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Marsh McLennan stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Marsh McLennan Companies has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.11, Maximum Drawdown of 4.92 and kurtosis of 3.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marsh McLennan's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marsh McLennan's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Marsh McLennan Companies Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Marsh McLennan correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Marsh Beta

    
  0.49  
Marsh standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.97  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Marsh McLennan's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Marsh McLennan's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in marsh stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Marsh McLennan.

Using Marsh Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Marsh McLennan grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Marsh McLennan at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Marsh Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Marsh McLennan's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Marsh McLennan will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Marsh McLennan's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Marsh McLennan Price At Expiration  

Current Marsh McLennan Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $210.0-0.84180.03052542024-04-197.5 - 8.95.5View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $200.0-0.2630.116522632024-04-190.1 - 0.450.45View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $195.0-0.07110.02882092024-04-190.0 - 0.60.15View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $190.0-0.03640.01172492024-04-190.05 - 0.10.1View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $185.0-0.0140.00441562024-04-190.0 - 0.050.04View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $175.0-0.01120.0023992024-04-190.0 - 0.050.05View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $170.0-0.00640.00131942024-04-190.0 - 0.750.03View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $160.0-0.00750.00112362024-04-190.0 - 0.80.05View
View All Marsh McLennan Options

Marsh McLennan Companies Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Marsh McLennan stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Marsh McLennan's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Marsh McLennan's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Marsh McLennan's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Marsh McLennan's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Marsh McLennan's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Marsh McLennan's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Marsh McLennan's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Marsh McLennan Companies Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Marsh McLennan Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marsh McLennan has a beta of 0.4864 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marsh McLennan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marsh McLennan Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marsh McLennan or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marsh McLennan's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marsh stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Marsh McLennan Companies has an alpha of 0.0232, implying that it can generate a 0.0232 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Marsh McLennan's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how marsh stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Marsh McLennan Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Marsh McLennan Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Marsh McLennan is 2313.3. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.94 and standard deviation of 0.97. The mean deviation of Marsh McLennan Companies is currently at 0.68. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.0072

Marsh McLennan Stock Return Volatility

Marsh McLennan historical daily return volatility represents how much of Marsh McLennan stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 0.9718% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Marsh McLennan Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Marsh McLennan or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Marsh McLennan may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Marsh's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Marsh McLennan and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Marsh McLennan fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Market Cap6.8 B4.7 B
Marsh McLennan's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Marsh Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Marsh McLennan's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Marsh McLennan's volatility to invest better

Higher Marsh McLennan's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Marsh McLennan Companies stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Marsh McLennan Companies stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Marsh McLennan Companies investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Marsh McLennan's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Marsh McLennan's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Marsh McLennan Investment Opportunity

Marsh McLennan Companies has a volatility of 0.97 and is 1.56 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Marsh McLennan. You can use Marsh McLennan Companies to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Marsh McLennan to be traded at $242.08 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Marsh McLennan Companies and NYA is 0.31 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Marsh McLennan Companies and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Marsh McLennan Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marsh McLennan's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marsh McLennan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Marsh McLennan stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Marsh McLennan Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Marsh McLennan as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Marsh McLennan's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Marsh McLennan's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Marsh McLennan Companies.
When determining whether Marsh McLennan Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marsh McLennan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marsh Mclennan Companies Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Marsh McLennan Companies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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Is Marsh McLennan's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marsh McLennan. If investors know Marsh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marsh McLennan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.643
Dividend Share
2.72
Earnings Share
7.54
Revenue Per Share
46.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
The market value of Marsh McLennan Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marsh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marsh McLennan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marsh McLennan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marsh McLennan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marsh McLennan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marsh McLennan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marsh McLennan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marsh McLennan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.