Maiden Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MHLD -- USA Stock  

USD 0.58  0.035  6.42%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Maiden Holdings Ltd which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Maiden Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Maiden Holdings Ltd from the prospective of Maiden Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Maiden Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Maiden Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Maiden Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Maiden Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 15, 2019
0.58
Current Value
0.58
After-hype Price
21.52
Upside
Maiden Holdings is out of control asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maiden Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Maiden Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.33% 6.98% 0.00%  0.00% 12 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.580.580.00%
69,800% 

Maiden Holdings Hype Timeline

Maiden Holdings is now traded for0.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Maiden Holdings Ltd is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 69800.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at -0.33%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Maiden Holdings is about 93315.51%%. The volatility of related hype on Maiden Holdings is about 93315.51% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.58. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Maiden Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. The entity recorded loss per share of 7.59. The firm last dividend was issued on 2018-09-28. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 12 days.
Please see also Maiden Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Maiden Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Greenlight Reinsurance Ltd(0.27) 14 per month 0.96  0.1  2.78 (1.83)  26.99 
Maiden Holdings Ltd(0.01) 12 per month 0.00 (0.05)  7.85 (8.75)  57.68 
Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited 0.0048 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  5.00 (9.49)  52.09 
Blue Capital Reinsurance Holdin 0.04 10 per month 1.29  0.16  4.65 (3.05)  20.04 
Citigroup(0.66) 23 per month 1.62  0.0087  2.76 (3.07)  8.03 
Loews Corporation 0.16 19 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.67 (2.05)  6.64 
Diamond Hill Investment Group(0.68) 17 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.08 (2.26)  6.56 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P 0.49 16 per month 1.52  0.0189  2.12 (2.60)  8.09 
Associated Capital Group 1.29 12 per month 1.32  0.0189  2.45 (2.41)  9.88 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp(0.29) 16 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.56 (2.93)  7.62 

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Please see also Maiden Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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