Maiden Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| MHLD Stock | USD 2.01 0.02 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Maiden Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Maiden Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Maiden Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Maiden Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Maiden Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Maiden Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Maiden Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.255 | Wall Street Target Price 2 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.596 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Maiden Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Maiden stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Maiden Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Maiden Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maiden Holdings from the perspective of Maiden Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Maiden Holdings using Maiden Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Maiden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Maiden Holdings' stock price.
Maiden Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Maiden Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Maiden Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Maiden Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Maiden Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Maiden Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Maiden Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Maiden Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Maiden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Maiden Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 2.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Maiden |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maiden Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Maiden Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Maiden Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maiden Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maiden Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Maiden Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Maiden Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maiden Holdings' historical news coverage. Maiden Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered Maiden Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Maiden Holdings is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maiden Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Maiden Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maiden Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maiden Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maiden Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 5.31 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.01 | 2.08 | 3.48 |
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Maiden Holdings Hype Timeline
Maiden Holdings is now traded for 2.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Maiden is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.48%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Maiden Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.01. The company currently holds 254.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Maiden Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Maiden Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Maiden Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maiden Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Maiden Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maiden Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNR-PG | RenaissanceRe Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | (0.03) | 1.39 | (1.50) | 5.20 | |
| PRE-PJ | PartnerRe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 1.64 | (1.82) | 6.28 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | (0.01) | 3.72 | (3.15) | 12.54 | |
| SPNT-PB | SiriusPoint | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.13 | (0.09) | 0.40 | (0.36) | 1.20 |
Maiden Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Maiden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maiden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maiden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Maiden Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Maiden Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Maiden Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Maiden Holdings based on analysis of Maiden Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Maiden Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Maiden Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.44 | 0.46 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.6 | 1.7 |
Story Coverage note for Maiden Holdings
The number of cover stories for Maiden Holdings depends on current market conditions and Maiden Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maiden Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maiden Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Maiden Holdings Short Properties
Maiden Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Maiden Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Maiden Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Maiden Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maiden Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 243.8 M |
Check out Maiden Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Maiden Stock refer to our How to Trade Maiden Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Maiden Stock analysis
When running Maiden Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Maiden Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maiden Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Maiden Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maiden Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maiden Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maiden Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Maiden Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maiden Holdings. If investors know Maiden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Maiden Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.255 | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 0.88 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.596 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Maiden Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maiden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maiden Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maiden Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Maiden Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maiden Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Maiden Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Maiden Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Maiden Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.