Metlife Stock Price Prediction

MET Stock  USD 74.11  0.19  0.26%   
The relative strength indicator of MetLife's the stock price is slightly above 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MetLife, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
MetLife stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MetLife shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MetLife's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MetLife and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MetLife's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MetLife's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.77
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.96
Wall Street Target Price
81.49
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MetLife based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The MetLife stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Using MetLife hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MetLife from the perspective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MetLife using MetLife's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MetLife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MetLife's stock price.

MetLife Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in MetLife's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards MetLife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of MetLife stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long MetLife may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MetLife and may potentially protect profits, hedge MetLife with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
64.0524
Short Percent
0.0119
Short Ratio
2.07
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
69.8488

MetLife Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to MetLife's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MetLife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MetLife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MetLife. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MetLife's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MetLife.

MetLife Implied Volatility

    
  22.66  
MetLife's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MetLife stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MetLife's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MetLife stock will not fluctuate a lot when MetLife's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in MetLife. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MetLife to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MetLife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

MetLife after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 74.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MetLife contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MetLife will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.42% per day over the life of the 2024-04-05 option contract. With MetLife trading at USD 74.11, that is roughly USD 1.05 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MetLife's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MetLife options at the current volatility level of 22.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MetLife Stock please use our How to Invest in MetLife guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MetLife's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.4355.5881.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.7073.8575.00
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.4478.5087.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.821.962.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MetLife. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MetLife's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MetLife's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MetLife.

MetLife After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MetLife at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MetLife or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MetLife, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MetLife Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MetLife's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MetLife's historical news coverage. MetLife's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.96 and 75.26, respectively. We have considered MetLife's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
74.11
74.11
After-hype Price
75.26
Upside
MetLife is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife is based on 3 months time horizon.

MetLife Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MetLife is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MetLife backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MetLife, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.14
  0.15 
  0.07 
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
74.11
74.11
0.00 
139.02  
Notes

MetLife Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March MetLife is traded for 74.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. MetLife is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 139.02%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 308.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.18. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MetLife has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2024. The firm had 1122:1000 split on the 7th of August 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MetLife Stock please use our How to Invest in MetLife guide.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MetLife's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MetLife's future price movements. Getting to know how MetLife rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MetLife may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NWLINational Western Life 0.58 8 per month 0.00 (0.73) 0.27 (0.20) 0.78 
CIACitizens 0.07 12 per month 0.00 (0.15) 5.66 (5.74) 12.92 
METMetLife 0.82 11 per month 1.24  0.06  1.73 (1.11) 7.85 
TATT Inc(0.13)10 per month 1.16 (0.01) 2.20 (2.41) 6.58 
KOThe Coca Cola 0.57 11 per month 0.45 (0.07) 1.20 (0.81) 3.53 
IBMInternational Business Machines 1.09 10 per month 0.88  0.08  2.58 (2.04) 11.73 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.17 9 per month 1.06 (0.14) 1.29 (1.34) 5.93 
MCDMcDonalds 0.95 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.54 (1.42) 5.99 
INTCIntel(0.79)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.68 (4.66) 17.12 

MetLife Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MetLife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MetLife using various technical indicators. When you analyze MetLife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About MetLife Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of MetLife stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MetLife, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MetLife based on analysis of MetLife hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MetLife's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MetLife's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio7.8624.6931.7533.34
Short Term Coverage Ratios36.9475.45115.3121.07

Story Coverage note for MetLife

The number of cover stories for MetLife depends on current market conditions and MetLife's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MetLife is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MetLife's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MetLife Short Properties

MetLife's future price predictability will typically decrease when MetLife's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MetLife often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MetLife's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MetLife's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding762.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments308.1 B
When determining whether MetLife is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if MetLife Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Metlife Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Metlife Stock:
Check out MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MetLife Stock please use our How to Invest in MetLife guide.
Note that the MetLife information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MetLife's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Complementary Tools for MetLife Stock analysis

When running MetLife's price analysis, check to measure MetLife's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MetLife is operating at the current time. Most of MetLife's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MetLife's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MetLife's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MetLife to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MetLife's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MetLife. If investors know MetLife will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MetLife listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Dividend Share
2.06
Earnings Share
1.81
Revenue Per Share
88.295
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.219
The market value of MetLife is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MetLife that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MetLife's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MetLife's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MetLife's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MetLife's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MetLife's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MetLife is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MetLife's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.