Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction
MEI Stock | USD 12.06 0.75 6.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Methode Electronics stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Methode Electronics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Methode Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Methode Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Methode Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Methode Electronics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Methode Electronics' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.19 | Wall Street Target Price 13.33 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.09 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Methode Electronics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Methode stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Methode Electronics over a specific investment horizon. Using Methode Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Methode Electronics from the perspective of Methode Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Methode Electronics using Methode Electronics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Methode using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Methode Electronics' stock price.
Methode Electronics Implied Volatility | 25.45 |
Methode Electronics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Methode Electronics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Methode Electronics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Methode Electronics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Methode Electronics' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Methode Electronics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Methode Electronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Methode because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Methode Electronics after-hype prediction price | USD 11.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Methode |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Methode Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Methode Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Methode Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Methode Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Methode Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Methode Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Methode Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Methode Electronics' historical news coverage. Methode Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.88 and 16.56, respectively. We have considered Methode Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Methode Electronics is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Methode Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Methode Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Methode Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Methode Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Methode Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 4.84 | 0.34 | 0.15 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.06 | 11.72 | 2.82 |
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Methode Electronics Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Methode Electronics is traded for 12.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Methode is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.82%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.75%. The volatility of related hype on Methode Electronics is about 2404.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.21. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Methode Electronics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.63. The firm last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. Methode Electronics had 10000:3742 split on the 30th of April 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Methode Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Methode Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Methode Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Methode Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Methode Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Methode Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
SANM | Sanmina | (2.21) | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.05 | 2.99 | (2.98) | 36.05 | |
BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.70 | 0.08 | 3.16 | (3.26) | 14.66 | |
OSIS | OSI Systems | 2.49 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 2.47 | (2.11) | 9.40 | |
CLS | Celestica | (0.34) | 11 per month | 2.38 | 0.17 | 6.51 | (4.81) | 19.32 | |
PLXS | Plexus Corp | 1.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.49 | (3.11) | 10.44 | |
BELFA | Bel Fuse A | (0.13) | 10 per month | 4.13 | 0.04 | 4.08 | (3.04) | 26.30 | |
CTS | CTS Corporation | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.01 | 3.33 | (2.47) | 17.43 | |
RELL | Richardson Electronics | 1.00 | 9 per month | 2.44 | (0.02) | 3.26 | (3.25) | 24.10 |
Methode Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Methode price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Methode using various technical indicators. When you analyze Methode charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Methode Electronics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Methode Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Methode Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Methode Electronics based on analysis of Methode Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Methode Electronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Methode Electronics's related companies. 2011 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.0134 | 0.0123 | 0.0212 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.57 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 0.74 |
Story Coverage note for Methode Electronics
The number of cover stories for Methode Electronics depends on current market conditions and Methode Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Methode Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Methode Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Methode Electronics Short Properties
Methode Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Methode Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Methode Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Methode Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Methode Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 157 M |
Check out Methode Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Methode Stock please use our How to Invest in Methode Electronics guide.Note that the Methode Electronics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Methode Electronics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Methode Stock analysis
When running Methode Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Methode Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Methode Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Methode Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Methode Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Methode Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Methode Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Methode Electronics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Methode Electronics. If investors know Methode will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Methode Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share (1.63) | Revenue Per Share 31.999 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Methode Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Methode that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Methode Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Methode Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Methode Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Methode Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Methode Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Methode Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Methode Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.