Southwest Airlines Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LUV -- USA Stock  

USD 55.79  0.81  1.47%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Southwest Airlines Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Southwest Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Southwest Airlines Company from the prospective of Southwest Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Southwest Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Southwest Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Southwest Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Southwest Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 15, 2019
55.79
Current Value
55.84
After-hype Price
59.74
Upside
Southwest Airlines is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southwest Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.

Southwest Airlines Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15% 1.30% 0.05%  0.07% 23 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 23 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.7955.840.09%
419.35% 

Southwest Airlines Hype Timeline

On 15 of September Southwest Airlines is traded for 55.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Southwest Airlines Company is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 55.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 419.35%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.09% where as daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Southwest Airlines is about 296.8% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 55.72. The company reported last year revenue of 22.34B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.4B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.08B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 23 days.
Please see also Southwest Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Southwest Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hawaiian Holdings 0.67 16 per month 2.62  0.0482  4.43 (4.67)  13.22 
American Airlines Group(0.79) 22 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.55 (3.96)  10.99 
Alaska Air Group(0.58) 20 per month 1.44  0.0324  2.62 (2.85)  6.72 
Avianca Holdings S A(0.13) 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  6.88 (4.09)  16.59 
China Eastern Airlines Corporat 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.66 (3.75)  14.72 
Copa Holdings S A Copa Holdin(1.46) 8 per month 1.38  0.0248  2.51 (2.15)  16.05 
Delta Air Lines(1.62) 10 per month 1.27  0.0325  2.12 (2.74)  6.78 
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes(0.62) 9 per month 2.86  0.0001  5.53 (5.48)  24.18 
LATAM Airlines Group S A(0.17) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0159)  5.26 (5.11)  14.16 
Southwest Airlines Company 0.31 23 per month 1.03  0.05  2.23 (1.94)  6.01 

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Please see also Southwest Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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