Lci Industries Stock Price Prediction
| LCII Stock | USD 103.50 2.35 2.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
LCI Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LCI Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LCI Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LCI Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LCI Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LCI Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LCI Industries' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.2 | Wall Street Target Price 113.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LCI Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LCI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LCI Industries over a specific investment horizon. Using LCI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LCI Industries from the perspective of LCI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LCI Industries using LCI Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LCI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LCI Industries' stock price.
LCI Industries Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LCI Industries' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LCI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LCI Industries stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long LCI Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about LCI Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge LCI Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 119.0499 | Short Percent 0.1236 | Short Ratio 8.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 116.728 |
LCI Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LCI Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LCI Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LCI Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LCI Industries.
LCI Industries Implied Volatility | 383.35 |
LCI Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LCI Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LCI Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LCI Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when LCI Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LCI Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LCI Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LCI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LCI Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 103.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LCI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LCI Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 23.96% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With LCI Industries trading at USD 103.5, that is roughly USD 24.8 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LCI Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LCI Industries options at the current volatility level of 383.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
LCI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LCI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LCI Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LCI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LCI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LCI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LCI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LCI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LCI Industries' historical news coverage. LCI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.03 and 105.97, respectively. We have considered LCI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LCI Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LCI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
LCI Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LCI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LCI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LCI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.47 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
103.50 | 103.50 | 0.00 |
|
LCI Industries Hype Timeline
LCI Industries is now traded for 103.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. LCI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on LCI Industries is about 807.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.46. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of LCI Industries was now reported as 53.5. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. LCI Industries last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 8th of September 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LCI Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LCI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LCI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LCI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LCI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.51 | (0.02) | 3.73 | (4.03) | 12.10 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | 0.38 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.62 | (6.08) | 20.87 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.94 | (0) | 4.20 | (4.57) | 22.62 | |
| BC | Brunswick | (1.44) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.74 | (3.05) | 9.44 | |
| EZGO | EZGO Technologies | (0.27) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.87 | (10.19) | 40.00 |
LCI Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LCI Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LCI Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LCI Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LCI Industries based on analysis of LCI Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LCI Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LCI Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0221 | 0.0438 | 0.0334 | 0.0376 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.88 | 0.45 | 0.84 | 0.55 |
Story Coverage note for LCI Industries
The number of cover stories for LCI Industries depends on current market conditions and LCI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LCI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LCI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
LCI Industries Short Properties
LCI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LCI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LCI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LCI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LCI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.2 M |
Check out LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in LCI Stock please use our How to Invest in LCI Industries guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for LCI Stock analysis
When running LCI Industries' price analysis, check to measure LCI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LCI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LCI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LCI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LCI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LCI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets |
Is LCI Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LCI Industries. If investors know LCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LCI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Dividend Share 4.2 | Earnings Share 2.52 | Revenue Per Share 149.568 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of LCI Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LCI Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LCI Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LCI Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LCI Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LCI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LCI Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LCI Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.