Kroger Company Stock Price Prediction

KR Stock  USD 57.13  0.23  0.40%   
The value of RSI of Kroger's share price is above 70 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Kroger, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

75

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Kroger Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kroger shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kroger's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kroger and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kroger's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kroger Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kroger based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kroger stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kroger over a specific investment horizon. Using Kroger hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kroger Company from the perspective of Kroger response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kroger. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kroger to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kroger because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kroger after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 57.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kroger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kroger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.4263.6465.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.2954.8856.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.7756.5957.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kroger. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kroger's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kroger's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kroger Company.

Kroger After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kroger at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kroger or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kroger, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kroger Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kroger's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kroger's historical news coverage. Kroger's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.54 and 58.72, respectively. We have considered Kroger's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
57.13
57.13
After-hype Price
58.72
Upside
Kroger is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kroger Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kroger Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kroger is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kroger backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kroger, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
1.59
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.13
57.13
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kroger Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Kroger Company is listed for 57.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kroger is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kroger is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.13. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Kroger was now reported as 12.34. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.11. Kroger Company last dividend was issued on the 14th of May 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 14th of July 2015. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Kroger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kroger Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kroger's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kroger's future price movements. Getting to know how Kroger rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kroger may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kroger Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kroger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kroger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kroger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kroger Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kroger stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kroger Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kroger based on analysis of Kroger hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kroger's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kroger's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kroger

The number of cover stories for Kroger depends on current market conditions and Kroger's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kroger is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kroger's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kroger Short Properties

Kroger's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kroger's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kroger Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kroger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kroger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding725 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B
When determining whether Kroger Company is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kroger's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kroger's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kroger Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Kroger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Complementary Tools for Kroger Stock analysis

When running Kroger's price analysis, check to measure Kroger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kroger is operating at the current time. Most of Kroger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kroger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kroger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kroger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kroger's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kroger. If investors know Kroger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kroger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kroger Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kroger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kroger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kroger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kroger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kroger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kroger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kroger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kroger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.